- The Lions are -3.5 point favorites vs the Packers
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Detroit Lions (6-1-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (6-2-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Lions vs. Packers Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | -2.5 -115 | 48 -110 | -145 |
| Packers | +2.5 -105 | 48 -110 | +120 |
Lions vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Lions vs Packers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Lions
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery (Det) | +525 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | +550 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | +600 |
| Amon-Ra St Brown (DET) | +750 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Lions
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery (Det) | -140 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | -120 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | -120 |
| Amon-Ra St Brown (DET) | +105 |
| Sam LaPorta (Det) | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 20.5 -110 | 20.5 -120 |
| Sam LaPorta (DET) | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 -110 |
| David Montgomery (DET) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 72.5 -120 | 72.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery (DET) | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 66.5 -120 | 66.5 -115 |
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions art 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 64.47% ROI).
- Lions are 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 12.47% ROI
- Lions are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI
- Lions are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 4-4 (-0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI).
- Packers are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 34.17% ROI
- Packers are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
- Packers are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Lions were 12-2 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.
The Lions were 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Packers are 8-4 (.667) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 247.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers were undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .607.
The Packers were undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.
The Packers were 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .652.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers have averaged 0.13 epa per play against a light front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 0.11 epa per play with a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 24.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 23.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have averaged 0.26 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 0.23 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 69.2% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 70.0% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 56.0% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 52.8% of pass attempts with a base front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 53.8% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 50.8% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions went for it on fourth down 35% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 44% against tight coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Lions averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Lions converted first downs on 103 of 320 plays (32%) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers scored on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Packers ran 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Packers ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 45% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 67% of pass attempts with a light rush last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Lions defense allowed 5 TD passes when the opposing QB was scrambling last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Lions defense allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 54% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Packers defense forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Packers defense forced three and outs on 16% of opponent drives last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 60% of plays first read passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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