- The Lions are -3.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 49 points
- Watch this game on NBC | UNIV | TELX
The Detroit Lions (7-1-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (6-3-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Houston, TX.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Lions vs. Texans Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.
Bet now on Texans vs Lions & all NFL games with BetMGM
Lions vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | -3.5 -110 | 49 -110 | -190 |
| Texans | +3.5 -110 | 49 -110 | +155 |
Lions vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Lions vs Texans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texans vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.50 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nico Collins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have scored last in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions art 7-1 (+5.9 Units / 67.82% ROI).
- Lions are 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 16.39% ROI
- Lions are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI
- Lions are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 3-5 (-2.4 Units / -24.74% ROI).
- Texans are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 16.17% ROI
- Texans are 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -58% ROI
- Texans are 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.98% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Lions are undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The Lions are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Lions are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .269.
The Lions are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .386.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Texans are 3-2 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The Texans are 12-4 (.750) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Texans are 12-3 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .576.
The Texans were 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 26.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 22.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Texans have run successful plays on just 36.5% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed successful plays on just 38.2% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Texans have run successful plays on just 36.5% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed successful plays on just 38.2% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans have pressured opposing QBs on 37.4% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have thrown the ball just 45.1% of the time this season — 4th-lowest in NFL. The Texans have allowed just 5.4 yards per dropback this season — T-best in NFL.
The Lions have averaged 2.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 2.1 passing touchdowns per game this season — T-worst in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions have run 25% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Lions went for it on fourth down 35% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Lions have faced a blitz 24% of the time this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Lions averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of plays against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 25% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 23% of pass attempts in Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense has allowed a passer rating of just 44.7 in the red zone (36 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.3.
The Lions defense has allowed 17.1 receptions per game (137/8) to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.6.
The Lions defense has allowed 212.9 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 150.0.
The Lions defense has blitzed on 52% of plays on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense have allowed 10 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Texans defense allowed a passer rating of just 64.7 in the red zone (63 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 34% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (152 completions/277 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Texans vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
