Lions vs. Packers Prediction: NFL Week 14 Odds, Betting Picks, TNF

To kick off the Week 14 NFL slate, the Lions will try to earn their 11th consecutive win as hosts against the Packers. 

Both teams played on Thanksgiving Day with each earning a victory. Detroit escaped with a win over the Bears, despite allowing a second-half comeback from Chicago. 

Green Bay dominated from start to finish against the Dolphins. A 13-point win handed Green Bay their third straight win since a Week 10 bye. 

Bet on Lions vs. Packers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

NFL Week 14 Odds: Lions vs. Packers

Lions vs. Packers Prediction

Based on the Lions’ mounting injuries on defense and Green Bay’s strong offensive record in the last game, my Lions vs. Packers prediction is the Packers Spread (+5.5, -110). 

Aidan Hutchinson, Alex Anzalone and now Malcolm Rodriguez. Those are the glaring absentees for Detroit, which also has Marcus Davenport on IR and Carlton Davis sidelined. 

The quality of Detroit’s offense may be enough to overcome those absences from an outright standpoint, but will they really cover this big a number? 

Green Bay fell by 10 points at home, but a Jordan Love pick six rendered that final score slightly misleading. 

Offensively, Green Bay carried a 6.6-4.7 edge in yards per play, including six yards per rush attempt against the Lions. 

Although it took Chicago’s offense a while to break out on Thanksgiving, I’m attributing some of that to the lingering effects of overtime against Minnesota. 

Despite their slow start, Chicago, which ranked 26th in offensive DVOA prior to their Week 13 game, amassed 5.1 yards per play. 

Now Detroit has to face a battle-tested Green Bay offense. 

Excluding Week 13, the Packers ranked third in offensive DVOA, having faced the second-hardest set of opposing defenses, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Even if the Green Bay defense struggles against Detroit’s offense, I’ll always believe the chance of a backdoor cover exists. 

History also likes this spot for the Packers. 

Since 2003, road divisional dogs between +1 and +6.5 are 64.5% ATS, assuming two factors:

• The underdog’s margin in the last head-to-head meeting fell between -17 and -1
• The underdog closed a market favorite in their previous game

When those dogs close between +5 and +6.5: 30-11-2 ATS. 

Back the Packers at +5 or better in Week 14. 

Betting Lions vs. Packers: NFL Public Betting

Check back on Thursday for Lions vs. Packers public betting data and insights.