- Based on preseason odds, the Miami Dolphins are -155 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- The Dolphins have reached the postseason in two straight campaigns.
- Why Miami’s defensive turnover could lead to a missed postseason.
Based on NFL odds and Dolphins playoff odds, the Miami Dolphins are predicted to make the postseason this year.
Miami, whose offense returns all skill players from 2023, is -155 to make the playoffs this year. That price implies a probability of 60.8%.
Comparatively, Miami’s price to miss the 2024 postseason is +130 for an implied probability of 43.5%.
Prediction: Will the Miami Dolphins Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Miami Dolphins will miss the playoffs this season.
There’s no denying this team’s offense counts itself among the best in the league. However, playing in a division with two top-10 defenses — the Bills and Jets — is a steep mountain to climb.
Add in the turnover on the defensive side of the ball, and I’ll take Miami to miss the playoffs this season.
Miami Dolphins Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -155 | 60.8% |
| Week 2 | -200 | 66.7% |
| Week 3 | +120 | 45.5% |
| Week 4 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 5 | +275 | 26.7% |
| Week 6 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 7 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 8 | +250 | 28.6% |
| Week 9 | +350 | 22.2% |
| Week 10 | +525 | 16% |
| Week 11 | +350 | 22.2% |
| Week 12 | +310 | 24.4% |
| Week 13 | +240 | 40% |
| Week 14 | +450 | 18.2% |
| Week 15 | +400 | 20% |
| Week 16 | +1100 | 8.33% |
AFC East Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -185 | 64.9% |
| Miami Dolphins | -155 | 60.8% |
| New York Jets | -145 | 59.2% |
| New England Patriots | +900 | 10% |
When Was the Last Time the Miami Dolphins Won the Super Bowl?
Not since the 1974 season have the Miami Dolphins earned a Super Bowl title.
In fact, the Dolphins haven’t reached the NFL’s final game since the 1985 season. In five Super Bowl appearances, Miami is 2-3.
Miami Dolphins Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Week 2 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 3 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 4 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 5 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 6 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 7 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 8 | +12500 | 0.79% |
| Week 9 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 10 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 11 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 12 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 13 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 14 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 15 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 16 | +50000 | 0.20% |
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