Dolphins Playoff Chances: Will Miami Make the Postseason?

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Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1), Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) and Miami Dolphins defensive tackle Christian Wilkins (94) celebrate Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane (not shown) scoring a touchdown during an NFL football game against the Denver Broncos, Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Photo/Doug Murray)
(Doug Murray/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Nov 19, 2024, 3:59 PM
  • Based on preseason odds, the Miami Dolphins are -155 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
  • The Dolphins have reached the postseason in two straight campaigns.
  • Why Miamiโ€™s defensive turnover could lead to a missed postseason.

Based on NFL odds and Dolphins playoff odds, the Miami Dolphins are predicted to make the postseason this year.ย 

Miami, whose offense returns all skill players from 2023, is -155 to make the playoffs this year. That price implies a probability of 60.8%.ย 

Comparatively, Miamiโ€™s price to miss the 2024 postseason is +130 for an implied probability of 43.5%.ย 

Prediction: Will the Miami Dolphins Make the Playoffs?ย 

I predict the Miami Dolphins will miss the playoffs this season.ย 

Thereโ€™s no denying this teamโ€™s offense counts itself among the best in the league. However, playing in a division with two top-10 defenses โ€” the Bills and Jets โ€” is a steep mountain to climb.ย 

Add in the turnover on the defensive side of the ball, and Iโ€™ll take Miami to miss the playoffs this season.ย 

Miami Dolphins Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Week NumberOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Preseason-15560.8%
Week 2-20066.7%
Week 3+12045.5%
Week 4+20033.3%
Week 5+27526.7%
Week 6+20033.3%
Week 7+20033.3%
Week 8+25028.6%
Week 9+35022.2%
Week 10+52516%
Week 11+35022.2%
Week 12+31024.4%

AFC East Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason

TeamOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Buffalo Bills-18564.9%
Miami Dolphins-15560.8%
New York Jets-14559.2%
New England Patriots+90010%

When Was the Last Time the Miami Dolphins Won the Super Bowl?ย 

Not since the 1974 season have the Miami Dolphins earned a Super Bowl title.ย 

In fact, the Dolphins havenโ€™t reached the NFLโ€™s final game since the 1985 season. In five Super Bowl appearances, Miami is 2-3.ย 

Miami Dolphins Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Week NumberOdds to Win Super BowlImplied Probability
Preseason+25003.85%
Week 2+20004.76%
Week 3+40002.44%
Week 4+66001.49%
Week 5+100000.99%
Week 6+100000.99%
Week 7+100000.99%
Week 8+125000.79%
Week 9+150000.66%
Week 10+150000.66%
Week 11+100000.99%
Week 12+100000.99%

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.