- Based on preseason odds, the New England Patriots are +900 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- New England is projected to play the second-hardest schedule this season.
- My prediction is that the Patriots will once again miss the postseason.
Based on NFL odds and Patriots playoff odds, the New England Patriots are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
Playing in one of the hardest divisions in the NFL, New England is +850 to make the playoffs. That price implies a probability of 10.5%.
New head coach Jerod Mayo’s team is -1600 to miss the playoffs, an implied probability of 94.1%.
Prediction: Will the New England Patriots Make the Playoffs?
I predict the New England Patriots will miss the playoffs this season. Of course, it’s not something I’m betting, given the heavy odds.
However, New England plays the second-hardest schedule in the league in a division, with three teams projected to make the postseason.
They also parted ways with Bill Belichick. In my estimation, that may lead to a dropoff for New England’s defense.
New England Patriots Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +850 | 10.5% |
| Week 2 | +750 | 11.8% |
| Week 3 | +550 | 15.4% |
| Week 4 | +650 | 13.3% |
| Week 5 | +750 | 11.8% |
| Week 6 | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Week 7 | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Week 8 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 9 | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Week 10 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 11 | +3000 | 3.23% |
AFC East Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -185 | 64.9% |
| Miami Dolphins | -155 | 60.8% |
| New York Jets | -145 | 59.2% |
| New England Patriots | +850 | 10.5% |
When Was the Last Time the New England Patriots Won the Super Bowl?
The Patriots last won the Super Bowl in 2019. That’s one of six Super Bowl wins for the Patriots in franchise history.
Despite that outstanding record, New England owns the second-longest price in this year’s Super Bowl Odds.
New England Patriots Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 2 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 3 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 4 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 5 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 6 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 7 | +75000 | 0.13% |
| Week 8 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 9 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 10 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 11 | +100000 | 0.01% |
NFL Betting Odds at BetMGM
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