Patriots Playoff Chances: Will New England Make the Postseason?

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New England Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo, center, speaks to his players near offensive tackle Calvin Anderson (76) and guard Michael Jordan (74) during NFL football practice, Wednesday, May 29, 2024, in Foxborough, Mass.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 09, 2024, 12:43 PM
  • Based on preseason odds, the New England Patriots are +900 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
  • New England is projected to play the second-hardest schedule this season.
  • My prediction is that the Patriots will once again miss the postseason.

Based on NFL odds and Patriots playoff odds, the New England Patriots are predicted to miss the postseason this year.ย 

Playing in one of the hardest divisions in the NFL, New England is +850 to make the playoffs. That price implies a probability of 10.5%.ย 

New head coach Jerod Mayoโ€™s team is -1600 to miss the playoffs, an implied probability of 94.1%.

Prediction: Will the New England Patriots Make the Playoffs?ย 

I predict the New England Patriots will miss the playoffs this season. Of course, itโ€™s not something Iโ€™m betting, given the heavy odds.ย 

However, New England plays the second-hardest schedule in the league in a division, with three teams projected to make the postseason.ย 

They also parted ways with Bill Belichick. In my estimation, that may lead to a dropoff for New Englandโ€™s defense.ย 

New England Patriots Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Week NumberOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Preseason+85010.5%
Week 2+75011.8%

AFC East Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason

TeamOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Buffalo Bills-18564.9%
Miami Dolphins-15560.8%
New York Jets-14559.2%
New England Patriots+85010.5%

When Was the Last Time the New England Patriots Won the Super Bowl?ย 

The Patriots last won the Super Bowl in 2019. Thatโ€™s one of six Super Bowl wins for the Patriots in franchise history.ย 

Despite that outstanding record, New England owns the second-longest price in this yearโ€™sย Super Bowl Odds.ย 

New England Patriots Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Week NumberOdds to Win Super BowlImplied Probability
Preseason+150000.66%
Week 2+300000.33%

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.