- Based on preseason odds, the New Orleans Saints are +175 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Despite playing the fourth-easiest schedule, New Orleans’ rest differential is concerning.
- Based on scheduling disadvantages, I predict New Orleans will miss the postseason.
Based on NFL odds and Saints playoff odds, the New Orleans Saints are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
New Orleans, who lost the tiebreaker to Tampa Bay for the division title last season, is +175 to make the playoffs. That price implies a probability of 36.4%.
The Saints are comparatively -210 to miss the upcoming postseason for an implied probability of 67.7%.
Prediction: Will the New Orleans Saints Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Saints will miss the playoffs this season.
It turns out an easy schedule didn’t benefit New Orleans, which played the easiest opponents last year and missed the playoffs.
Although they play the fourth-easiest schedule this year, they’re tied for the fifth-worst net rest edge differential, per sharpfootballanalysis.com.
Accordingly, expect New Orleans to miss another postseason.
New Orleans Saints Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +175 | 36.4% |
| Week 2 | +150 | 40% |
| Week 3 | -200 | 66.7% |
| Week 4 | -175 | 63.6% |
| Week 5 | -105 | 51.2% |
| Week 6 | -105 | 51.2% |
| Week 7 | +425 | 19% |
| Week 8 | +600 | 14.3% |
| Week 9 | +900 | 10% |
| Week 10 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 11 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 12 | +1200 | 7.69% |
| Week 13 | +1200 | 7.69% |
| Week 14 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 15 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 16 | +25000 | 0.40% |
NFC South Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | -185 | 64.9% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +150 | 40% |
| New Orleans Saints | +175 | 36.4% |
| Carolina Panthers | +750 | 11.8% |
When Was the Last Time the New Orleans Saints Won the Super Bowl?
Not since Super Bowl XLIV in 2010 have the Saints claimed the Lombardi Trophy.
That remains New Orleans’ only Super Bowl win and appearance in franchise history.
New Orleans Saints Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 2 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 3 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 4 | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Week 5 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 6 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 7 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 8 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 9 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 10 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 11 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 12 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 13 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 14 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 15 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 16 | +100000 | 0.01% |
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