- The Philadelphia Eagles (-175) are predicted to win the NFC East.
- The Eagles and Cowboys have alternated division titles in the last four years.
- I predict the Dallas Cowboys (+800) win the NFC East in 2025.
A season removed from their Super Bowl 59 win, the Philadelphia Eagles are a heavy favorite to repeat as division winners in 2025.
The Eagles (-175) trail only the Bills as the heaviest favorite to capture their respective division title this season.
A win for the Eagles would mark the first time since 2004 the same team won the NFC East in back-to-back seasons.
How does this division shake out in 2025? Here’s a look at the NFL odds for the NFC East division winner and my NFC East prediction.
NFC East Odds, 2025 Division Winner
- Philadelphia Eagles: -175
- Washington Commanders: +225
- Dallas Cowboys: +800
- New York Giants: +3500
NFC East Prediction
Based on the expected regression from the Eagles and Commanders along with their relatively easy schedule, I predict the Dallas Cowboys Win the NFC East (+800).
The quality of Philadelphia and Washington can’t be ignored, but two factors drove their success last season: health and opponent quality.
Both teams overperformed their underlying metrics while keeping their core groups intact.
Per ftnfantasy.com, the Eagles accumulated the second-fewest adjusted games lost, while Washington amassed the fifth-fewest.
They also faced markedly easier schedules than Dallas. Philly faced the fourth-easiest set of opponents in 2024 while Washington faced the second-easiest set, again per ftnfantasy.com.
Against those schedules, Philadelphia finished three wins over expected thanks to a 7-2 record in games decided by seven or fewer points.
Washington’s luck is well documented as they finished two wins over expected thanks to a 8-1 record in such contests, including 4-1 in games decided by three or fewer points.
If regression comes for those teams, it’s my belief this big a gap should not exist between the two contenders and the Cowboys.
The other consideration with the Cowboys? Their difficult 2024 season can be attributed to injury issues and a comparably difficult schedule.
Dallas lost 84.7 adjusted games lost to injury in 2024, the 14th-most in the league and highest in the NFC East.
That would doom any team’s season, but it was compounded by the fact the Cowboys faced the league’s ninth-hardest schedule, including the seventh-hardest set of opposing offenses.
This season, Dallas receives an easier schedule. It’s also worth noting their most difficult games come at home while Philadelphia and Washington’s come on the road.
Excluding their divisional foes, Dallas plays six games against playoff teams from last year. Four of those games are in Dallas.
The Eagles play nine games against such opponents with six on the road. Washington faces only six games against non-divisional playoff teams with four on the road.
If the Cowboys see defensive improvement year over year – they fell 19 spots in defensive DVOA from 2023 to 2024 – the team is live to challenge for the division.
As a result, I like the price on the Cowboys to capture a 2025 division title.
NFC East Standings & Live Odds, 2025
| Position | Team | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia Eagles | -175 |
| 2 | Washington Commanders | +225 |
| 3 | Dallas Cowboys | +800 |
| 4 | New York Giants | +3500 |
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