- Patrick Mahomes’ outstanding record as an underdog.
- Joe Burrow’s brilliant ATS record since joining the league.
- Read on to get favorite & underdog records for all 32 starting quarterbacks.
When evaluating NFL odds, bettors should remember quarterbacks perform differently when they’re a favorite vs. an underdog.
This can equip bettors with an advantage and allow them to take advantage of certain spreads.
Here, I’ll break down each starting quarterback’s record as a favorite and an underdog. All data comes courtesy of Bet Labs.
NFL Quarterback Records Against the Spread (ATS)
Records reflective as of Jan. 13, 2024.
AFC Quarterbacks
| Quarterback | ATS Record | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 56-44-1 (56%) | 44-41-1 (51.7%) | 12-3-0 (80%) |
| Josh Allen | 63-53-5 (54.3%) | 44-39-3 (52.9%) | 19-14-2 (57.1%) |
| Joe Burrow | 46-29-1 (61.3%) | 27-18-1 (59.8%) | 19-11-0 (63.3%) |
| Deshaun Watson | 35-38-2 (48%) | 14-22-2 (39.5%) | 21-16-0 (56.8%) |
| Bo Nix | 12-6-0 (66.7%) | 8-0-0 (100%) | 4-6-0 (40%) |
| C.J. Stroud | 17-18-0 (48.6%) | 7-12-0 (36.8%) | 10-6-0 (62.5%) |
| Anthony Richardson | 9-6-0 (60%) | 3-2-0 (60%) | 6-4-0 (60%) |
| Trevor Lawrence | 29-33-0 (46.8%) | 8-13-0 (38.1%) | 21-20-0 (51.2%) |
| Patrick Mahomes | 68-58-4 (54%) | 56-56-3 (50%) | 12-2-1 (83.3%) |
| Gardner Minshew | 20-26-0 (43.5%) | 8-6-0 (57.1%) | 12-20-0 (37.5%) |
| Justin Herbert | 44-35-2 (55.7%) | 30-23-1 (56.5%) | 14-12-1 (53.7%) |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 34-28-1 (54.8%) | 20-15-0 (57.1%) | 14-13-1 (51.8%) |
| Drake Maye | 6-6-0 (50%) | 0-0-0 (0%) | 6-6-0 (50%) |
| Aaron Rodgers | 146-111-5 (56.8%) | 111-82-3 (57.5%) | 35-29-2 (54.7%) |
| Russell Wilson | 101-91-8 (52.5%) | 64-73-6 (46.7%) | 44-27-2 (62%) |
| Will Levis | 5-15-0 (25%) | 1-5-0 (16.7%) | 4-10-0 (28.6%) |
NFC Quarterbacks
| Quarterback | ATS Record | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 0-1-0 (0%) |
| Kyler Murray | 45-36-2 (55.6%) | 13-19-0 (40.6%) | 32-17-2 (65.3%) |
| Bryce Young | 12-16-1 (43.1%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 12-15-1 (44.6%) |
| Caleb Williams | 9-7-0 (56.3%) | 4-1-0 (80%) | 5-6-0 (45.5%) |
| Dak Prescott | 67-60-2 (52.8%) | 50-39-2 (56%) | 17-21-0 (44.7%) |
| Jared Goff | 83-56-3 (59.7%) | 53-35-3 (59.9%) | 30-21-0 (58.8%) |
| Jordan Love | 18-17-1 (51.4%) | 8-9-0 (47.1%) | 10-8-1 (55.3%) |
| Matthew Stafford | 105-119-6 (46.9%) | 54-60-3 (47.4%) | 51-59-3 (46.4%) |
| Sam Darnold | 32-38-2 (45.8%) | 10-15-1 (40.4%) | 20-23-1 (46.6%) |
| Derek Carr | 79-88-3 (47.3%) | 22-40-2 (35.5%) | 57-48-1 (54.3%) |
| Tommy DeVito | 4-4-0 (50%) | 0-0-0 (0%) | 4-4-0 (50%) |
| Jalen Hurts | 37-33-2 (52.9%) | 27-25-2 (51.9%) | 10-8-0 (55.6%) |
| Brock Purdy | 20-22-0 (47.6%) | 20-19-0 (51.3%) | 0-3-0 (0%) |
| Geno Smith | 38-42-4 (47.5%) | 11-19-2 (36.7%) | 27-23-2 (54%) |
| Baker Mayfield | 51-56-1 (47.7%) | 19-31-1 (38%) | 32-25-0 (56.1%) |
| Jayden Daniels | 11-6-1 (64.7%) | 7-4-0 (63.6%) | 4-2-1 (66.7%) |
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