Panthers vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 3

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(AP Photo/Jeff Lewis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 4:07 PM
  • The Raiders are -5.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
  • Total (Over/Under): 40 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Carolina Panthers (0-2-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (1-1-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Paradise, NV.

The Raiders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Panthers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.

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Panthers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Panthers+5.5 -11040 -110+200
Raiders -5.5 -11040 -110-250

Panthers vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this game with 67.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Panthers vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers art 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Panthers are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Panthers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Panthers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 1-1 (-0.2 Units / -8.33% ROI).

  • Raiders are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 130% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers are winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers were winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .647.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Raiders are winless (0-3) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .164.

The Raiders were winless (0-8) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .276.

The Raiders were undefeated (6-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have averaged just -0.66 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just -0.69 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Raiders have averaged just 307 yards from scrimmage per game (5,835 YFS / 19 G) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average of just 311.5 yards from scrimmage per game (5,919/19) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 48.0% of pass attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers have pressured opposing QBs on 16.3% of pass attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Panthers have gone three and out on 37.5% of their drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Raiders have forced three and outs on 36% of opponent drives this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Panthers have been successful on just 25.0% of plays they have ran with motion this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 36.4% of plays against motion this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Panthers have averaged just -0.74 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just -0.71 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers have averaged -0.74 epa per play on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.17.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 12% of pass attempts against a base rush in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 12% of pass attempts in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders have 2 of 28 (7%) first downs have come on the ground (7%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 6% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 18% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 19% of rush attempts against a base front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (472 carries) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 80% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Panthers defense has allowed 3 TD passes in the red zone this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (550 carries) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 88% of pass attempts against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Raiders defense have allowed 13 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense have allowed 0.82 epa per play against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 88% of plays against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.