- The Vikings (8-2) are -3 point favorites vs the Patriots (6-4)
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch the game on NBC
The New England Patriots (6-4) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (8-2) on Nov. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Minneapolis on Thanksgiving.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Patriots vs. Vikings Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Vikings vs Patriots & all NFL games with BetMGM
Patriots vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Patriots | +2.5 -105 | 42.5 -110 | +120 |
| Vikings | -2.5 -115 | 42.5 -110 | -145 |
Patriots vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 12 game with 65.8% confidence.
Patriots vs Vikings Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 12 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Vikings vs Patriots and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Hunter Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Patriots
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | +600 |
| Justin Jefferson | +750 |
| T.J. Hockenson | +800 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +800 |
| Adam Thielen | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Patriots
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | -105 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +120 |
| Justin Jefferson | +120 |
| T.J. Hockenson | +138 |
| Adam Thielen | +180 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Thielen | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -120 |
| Justin Jefferson | 86.5 -115 | 86.5 -115 |
| K.J. Osborn | 23.5 -115 | 23.5 -115 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
| Dalvin Cook | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
| Dalvin Cook | 74.5 -115 | 74.5 -115 |
| Kirk Cousins | 2.5 -125 | 2.5 -105 |
Patriots Best Bets for Week 12:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 77% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets for Week 12:
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 6-3 (+2.8 Units / 26.17% ROI).
- Patriots are 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -4.5% ROI
- Patriots are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Patriots are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 4-5 (-1.6 Units / -14.35% ROI).
- Vikings are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 40% ROI
- Vikings are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Vikings are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Patriots are undefeated (4-0) when not losing a fumble this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Patriots are winless (0-3) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.
The Patriots are undefeated (7-0) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Patriots are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Vikings are 8-1 (.889) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — third-best in NFL. The Patriots have turned the ball over 19 times this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Vikings are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .580.
The Vikings are undefeated (6-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .581.
Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings ran successful plays on just 20.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — fourth-worst in NFL. Patriots allowed successful plays on just 19.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in Week 10 — best in NFL.
The Vikings had a third down conversion rate of just 9.1% last week — worst in NFL. The Patriots defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 21.4% in Week 10 — third-best in NFL.
The Vikings ran just 5.6% offensive plays in the red zone last week — tied for third-worst in NFL. Patriots allowed their opponent to run just 2.0% of plays in the red zone in Week 10 — best in NFL.
The Patriots have turned the ball over 19 times this season — tied for most in NFL. The Vikings have forced 16 turnovers this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Patriots have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 81.5% of pass attempts since Week 7 — highest in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 7.3 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards since Week 7 — fifth-worst in NFL.
Patriots RBs have gained 171 yards after catch since Week 7 — fifth-most in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 498 yards after catch since Week 7 — fourth-most in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 12
The Patriots have not recorded a TD in 26 drives in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Patriots have started 8 drives inside opposing territory since Week 8 — most in NFL.
The Patriots have not recorded a TD in 10 drives in the 4th quarter since Week 8 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 12
The Vikings allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 43% of pass attempts in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Vikings ran 11% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 11 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Vikings ran no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 11 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Vikings allowed a QB hit on 43% of pass attempts in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 12
The Patriots defense forced three and outs on 58% of opponent drives in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Patriots defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (180 completions/323 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.
The Patriots defense has averaged 1.3 interceptions per game (34/27) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
Offenses facing the Patriots have thrown deep balls on 17% of pass attempts (54/323) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 12
The Vikings defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 29 of 468 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) last season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Vikings defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 71% in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 200.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 159.8.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Vikings vs Patriots and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
