- The Broncos are -2.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 36 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-2-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (2-2-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Raiders vs. Broncos Over/Under is 36 total points for the game.
Bet now on Broncos vs Raiders & all NFL games with BetMGM
Raiders vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +2.5 -105 | 36 -110 | +115 |
| Broncos | -2.5 -115 | 36 -110 | -140 |
Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Raiders vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Broncos vs Raiders and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
- Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.85 Units / 74% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have scored first in their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 76% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 2-2 (-0.3 Units / -6.59% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 25.45% ROI
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 3-1 (+1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI).
- Broncos are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 83.75% ROI
- Broncos are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Broncos are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Raiders are 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of 132.9 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are undefeated (4-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos were winless (0-6) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .293.
The Broncos were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Broncos are 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Broncos were 3-5 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos scored on 14.3% of their drives last week — worst in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 22.2% of opponent drives last week — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Broncos were successful on just 26.3% of plays they ran with motion last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders allowed their opponents to be successful on just 31.2% of plays against motion last week — 5th-best in NFL.
The Broncos have a third down conversion rate of just 13.3% against the blitz this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Raiders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% when blitzing this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run just 10.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed their opponent to run just 9.1% of plays in the red zone this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 0.0% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 23.5% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 27.7% of rush attempts against a base front this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 30.0% of rush attempts with a base front this season — best in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have averaged -1.25 epa per play against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 9% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Raiders have gone three and out 6 times in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 23% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos have run successful plays on 22% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Broncos have gone three and out 8 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have averaged -0.45 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Broncos ran successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on motion plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has missed 44 tackles this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Raiders defense have allowed 23 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 4.9 on contested throws (12 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 73.0.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 33.2 on contested throws (87 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65.8.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 19% of plays with a light rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Broncos vs Raiders and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
