- The Broncos are -2.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 36 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-2-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (2-2-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Raiders vs. Broncos Over/Under is 36 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +2.5 -105 | 36 -110 | +115 |
| Broncos | -2.5 -115 | 36 -110 | -140 |
Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Raiders vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
- Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.85 Units / 74% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have scored first in their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 76% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 2-2 (-0.3 Units / -6.59% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 25.45% ROI
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 3-1 (+1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI).
- Broncos are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 83.75% ROI
- Broncos are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Broncos are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Raiders are 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of 132.9 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are undefeated (4-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos were winless (0-6) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .293.
The Broncos were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Broncos are 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Broncos were 3-5 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos scored on 14.3% of their drives last week — worst in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 22.2% of opponent drives last week — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Broncos were successful on just 26.3% of plays they ran with motion last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders allowed their opponents to be successful on just 31.2% of plays against motion last week — 5th-best in NFL.
The Broncos have a third down conversion rate of just 13.3% against the blitz this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Raiders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% when blitzing this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run just 10.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed their opponent to run just 9.1% of plays in the red zone this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 0.0% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 23.5% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 27.7% of rush attempts against a base front this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 30.0% of rush attempts with a base front this season — best in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have averaged -1.25 epa per play against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 9% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Raiders have gone three and out 6 times in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 23% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos have run successful plays on 22% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Broncos have gone three and out 8 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have averaged -0.45 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Broncos ran successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on motion plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has missed 44 tackles this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Raiders defense have allowed 23 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 4.9 on contested throws (12 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 73.0.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 33.2 on contested throws (87 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65.8.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 19% of plays with a light rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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