Raiders vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin works during the first half of an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022, in Atlanta. The Pittsburgh Steelers won 19-16.
(AP Photo/Danny Karnik)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Steelers (6-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Raiders (6-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Pittsburgh.

The Steelers are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders+2 -11038.5 -110+105
Steelers -2 -11038.5 -110-125

Raiders vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 16 game with 62.3% confidence.

Raiders vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 16 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 58% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Raiders

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Josh Jacobs +500
Najee Harris +650
Davante Adams +650
Jaylen Warren +750
Darren Waller +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Raiders

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Josh Jacobs -120
Davante Adams -105
Najee Harris +105
Jaylen Warren +115
Darren Waller +160

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Raiders

Player Name Over Under
Mack Hollins 32.5 -110 32.5 -120
Josh Jacobs 16.5 -115 16.5 -115
Warren 9.5 -110 9.5 -120
Najee Harris 9.5 -110 9.5 -120
Davante Adams 66.5 -120 66.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Raiders

Player Name Over Under
Derek Carr 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
Josh Jacobs 83.5 -115 83.5 -115
Najee Harris 61.5 -120 61.5 -110
Jaylen Warren 25.5 -120 25.5 -110
Kenny Pickett 19.5 -120 19.5 -110
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Raiders are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -27.37% ROI
  • Raiders are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Raiders are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • Steelers are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 11.48% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Steelers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Raiders are 1-3 (.250) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

The Raiders are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.

The Raiders are 9-10 (.474) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .404.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Steelers are winless (0-6) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.

The Steelers are 6-2 (.750) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

The Steelers are winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .385.

The Steelers are winless (0-2) when losing at least one fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers rushed the ball on 64.7% of plays from scrimmage last week — highest in NFL. The Raiders allowed 6.7 yards per carry in Week 14 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Steelers WRs have averaged just 2.6 yards after the catch this season — worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 3.7 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Steelers are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on first down this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 4.1 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

Raiders RBs have averaged 1.9 yards after contact per carry since Week 12 — third-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 1.6 yards after contact per carry since Week 12 — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have gone three and out on 22.9% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — fifth-worst in NFL. Steelers have forced three and outs on 25.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — second-best in NFL.

The Raiders have run successful plays on just 9.1% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 12 — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on 28.6% of passing plays since Week 12 — third-best in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 57 of 115 plays (50%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders have 16 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 95 of 184 plays (52%) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Steelers are averaging 18.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers ran 4% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Steelers ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Raiders defense has intercepted 4 of 489 attempts (122.2 pass attempts per int.) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46.3.

The Raiders defense has allowed 9 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Raiders defense has averaged 0.3 interceptions per game (10/31) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Steelers defense forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 16 rush attempts in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.