- The Steelers (6-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Raiders (6-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch the game on NFL Network
The Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Pittsburgh.
The Steelers are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Raiders vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +2 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +105 |
| Steelers | -2 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -125 |
Raiders vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 16 game with 62.3% confidence.
Raiders vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 16 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 58% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Raiders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | +500 |
| Najee Harris | +650 |
| Davante Adams | +650 |
| Jaylen Warren | +750 |
| Darren Waller | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Raiders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | -120 |
| Davante Adams | -105 |
| Najee Harris | +105 |
| Jaylen Warren | +115 |
| Darren Waller | +160 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Raiders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mack Hollins | 32.5 -110 | 32.5 -120 |
| Josh Jacobs | 16.5 -115 | 16.5 -115 |
| Warren | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -120 |
| Davante Adams | 66.5 -120 | 66.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Raiders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Josh Jacobs | 83.5 -115 | 83.5 -115 |
| Najee Harris | 61.5 -120 | 61.5 -110 |
| Jaylen Warren | 25.5 -120 | 25.5 -110 |
| Kenny Pickett | 19.5 -120 | 19.5 -110 |
Raiders Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Raiders are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -27.37% ROI
- Raiders are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Raiders are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.61% ROI).
- Steelers are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 11.48% ROI
- Steelers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Steelers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Raiders are 1-3 (.250) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.
The Raiders are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.
The Raiders are 9-10 (.474) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .404.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Steelers are winless (0-6) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.
The Steelers are 6-2 (.750) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.
The Steelers are winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .385.
The Steelers are winless (0-2) when losing at least one fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers rushed the ball on 64.7% of plays from scrimmage last week — highest in NFL. The Raiders allowed 6.7 yards per carry in Week 14 — fourth-worst in NFL.
Steelers WRs have averaged just 2.6 yards after the catch this season — worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 3.7 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Steelers are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on first down this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 4.1 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
Raiders RBs have averaged 1.9 yards after contact per carry since Week 12 — third-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 1.6 yards after contact per carry since Week 12 — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Raiders have gone three and out on 22.9% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — fifth-worst in NFL. Steelers have forced three and outs on 25.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — second-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 9.1% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 12 — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Steelers have pressured opposing QBs on 28.6% of passing plays since Week 12 — third-best in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Raiders have converted first downs on just 57 of 115 plays (50%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Raiders have 16 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Raiders have converted first downs on just 95 of 184 plays (52%) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Steelers are averaging 18.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Steelers ran 4% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Raiders defense has intercepted 4 of 489 attempts (122.2 pass attempts per int.) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46.3.
The Raiders defense has allowed 9 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Raiders defense has averaged 0.3 interceptions per game (10/31) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Steelers defense forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 16 rush attempts in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 27%.
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