- The Bears are -3 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 41 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Los Angeles Rams (1-2-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-2-0) on Sep. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Rams vs. Bears Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Rams vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Rams | +3 -110 | 40.5 -110 | +135 |
| Bears | -3 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -160 |
Rams vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Rams vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today
- Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tyler Higbee has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.40 Units / 87% ROI)
- Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Rams
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | +425 |
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | +800 |
| D.J. Moore (Chi) | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Rams
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | -145 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Rams
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | 16.5 -115 | 16.5 -115 |
| D.J. Moore (CHI) | 55.5 -120 | 55.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Rams
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 36.5 -105 | 36.5 -125 |
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | 76.5 -110 | 76.5 -120 |
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams art 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Rams are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 4.84% ROI
- Rams are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.85 Units / 25.37% ROI
- Rams are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
- Bears are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -25% ROI
- Bears are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Bears are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Rams were 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.
The Rams were 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Rams are 3-7 (.300) after a road win since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Rams were undefeated (4-0) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Bears were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.
The Bears were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Bears were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Bears were 2-9 (.182) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears went three and out on 8.3% of their drives last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives last week — T-worst in NFL.
The Rams have run successful plays on just 45.0% of rush attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on just 45.5% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
Rams RBs have averaged just 1.3 yards after contact per carry this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed just 1.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — best in NFL.
The Rams have scored 4.7 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 4.7 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams have averaged -0.50 epa per play against a light rush since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Rams ran 42% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Rams averaged -0.51 epa per play against a light rush last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Rams scored 4.9 points per Red Zone drive last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears have averaged -0.61 epa per play against a light rush since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.28 epa per play against a base front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears ran 84 plays in Week 3 — most in NFL.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense have allowed 0.71 epa per play against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 153.8 open coverage (38 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 118.0.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 146.5 against play action passes (24 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.6.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 146.7 when the opposing QB has scrambled (7 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 67.3.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of pass attempts with a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 46.1 with a base front (43 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.5.
The Bears defense have allowed -0.67 epa per play against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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