- The Lions are -3.5 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch this game on NBC
The Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Rams vs. Lions Over/Under is 51 total points for the game.
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Rams vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Rams | +3.5 -115 | 51 -110 | +145 |
| Lions | -3.5 -105 | 51 -110 | -175 |
Rams vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Rams vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 62.9% confidence.
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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Kyren Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jimmy Garoppolo has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 54% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Rams
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery (Det) | +600 |
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | +650 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | +650 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Rams
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 21.5 -120 | 21.5 -110 |
| Cooper Kupp (LAR) | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Sam LaPorta (DET) | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -120 |
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | 14.5 -110 | 14.5 -120 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 82.5 -110 | 82.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Rams
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery (DET) | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
| Matthew Stafford (LAR) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Jared Goff (DET) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 54.5 -120 | 54.5 -110 |
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 19 games (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Rams went 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Rams are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 90% ROI
- Rams are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Rams are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Lions went 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Lions are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 292.5% ROI
- Lions are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Lions are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Rams are 8-5 (.615) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 246.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Rams were undefeated (4-0) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .359.
The Rams were 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) after a loss last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Lions were 12-2 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Lions were 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have run 50.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed their opponents to run 46.1% of plays in their territory since the 2022 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Lions have been successful on 47.6% of plays they have run against a base rush since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.8% of plays with a base rush since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Lions have averaged 0.08 epa per play against a light front since the 2022 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed 0.08 epa per play with a light front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
The Rams were successful on 46.6% of plays they have run against a light front last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed their opponents to be successful on 47.7% of plays with a light front last season — worst in NFL.
The Rams ran successful plays on 49.7% of pass attempts against a light front last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed successful plays on 50.3% of pass attempts with a light front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Rams went three and out on 13% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Lions forced three and outs on 15.6% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams went three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Rams have run successful plays on 83% of rush attempts on first read passes since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Rams targeted RBs 12% of the time (69 Pass Attempts/583 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Rams have converted fourth downs on 28 of 40 plays (70%) since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts against a base front in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Lions went for it on fourth down 35% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Lions converted first downs on 103 of 320 plays (32%) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Lions ran successful plays on 48% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
Offenses facing the Rams threw deep balls on 29% of pass attempts (23/79) on 3rd and long last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Rams defense have allowed -0.11 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Rams defense allowed 7 TDs on first drive of the game last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed 9 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 18 — most in NFL.
The Lions defense allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Lions defense has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (13,008 yards / 1,609 touches) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Lions defense allowed 5 TD passes when the opposing QB was scrambling last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
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