Ravens vs. Bills Prediction, Odds, Pick: Week 4, SNF

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Baltimore Ravens' Lamar Jackson (8) and Derrick Henry, left, celebrate Jackson's rushing touchdown during an NFL football game against the Dallas Cowboys, Sunday, Sept. 22, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. The Ravens defeated the Cowboys, 28-25.
(AP Photo/Gareth Patterson)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 26, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Ravens are predicted to be -2.5-point favorites against the Bills.
  • Lamar Jackson is 10-3 ATS as a favorite of -3 or shorter.
  • My prediction for Sunday Night Football is a Derrick Henry player prop.

The Bills look to move to 4-0 on Sunday Night Football with a trip to face the Baltimore Ravens.ย 

Buffalo moved to 3-0 on Monday night thanks to a 47-10 win over the Jaguars. That gives Buffalo wins over Arizona, Miami and Jacksonville to start the year.ย 

Baltimore avoided an 0-3 start in Week 3 with a win over the Cowboys. However, after taking a 28-6 lead, Baltimore only won 28-25.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the NFL betting lines and my Ravens vs. Bills prediction.ย 

Ravens vs. Bills Odds: Week 4, SNF

  • Baltimore Ravens Moneyline: -130
  • Buffalo Bills Moneyline: +110
  • Game Spread: Baltimore Ravens -2.5 (-110)
  • Game Over/Under: 46.5 Points

Ravens vs. Bills Prediction: Week 4, SNF

My prediction for Ravens vs. Bills on Sunday Night Football is Derrick Henry Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-120).

Buffalo has disguised it well with consecutive blowout wins, but the fact remains their rushing defense leaves much to be desired.ย 

Terrel Bernard and Matt Milano are both out with injuries. That leaves a big question mark in Buffaloโ€™s linebacking corp.ย 

Through three games, Buffalo ranks 27th in EPA per play allowed via the rush. Theyโ€™re also 26th in PFFโ€™s rush defensive grades.ย 

Baltimoreโ€™s offensive line was a question mark entering the season. However, theyโ€™re seventh in rush blocking through three games.ย 

This also marks their second straight game against a team 26th or worse in PFFโ€™s rush defense grades. Last week in Dallas, Henry rushed for 151 yards.ย 

The Ravens lead the league in rush EPA per play and should exploit a weak Bills run defense playing on short rest. Take the over on Henry as a result.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.