Saints vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:22 PM
  • The Eagles (13-2) are -7 point favorites vs the Saints (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New Orleans Saints (6-9) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (13-2) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Philadelphia.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Saints vs. Eagles Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Saints vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saints+7 -11044 -110+240
Eagles -7 -11044 -110-300

Saints vs. Eagles Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 17 game with 81.5% confidence.

Saints vs Eagles Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread this Week 17 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Adam Trautman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Andy Dalton has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mark Ingram has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.60 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -23.93% ROI).

  • Saints are 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -13.92% ROI
  • Saints are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Saints are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 8-7 (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • Eagles are 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 14.48% ROI
  • Eagles are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Eagles are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Saints are 1-4 (.200) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Saints are 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.

The Saints are 1-6 (.143) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .299.

The Saints are 4-5 (.444) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .618.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .403.

The Eagles are 12-2 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — third-best in NFL. The Saints have turned the ball over 23 times this season — fourth-most in NFL.

The Eagles are 10-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL. The Saints have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .444.

Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have thrown the ball just 46.9% of the time this season — fifth-lowest in NFL. The Saints have allowed just 5.8 yards per dropback this season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Eagles have a third down conversion rate of 50.0% since Week 13 — third-best in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 50.0% since Week 13 — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 8.1% of pass attempts since Week 13 — best in NFL. The Saints have pressured opposing QBs on just 13.5% of passing plays since Week 13 — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Saints have turned the ball over 23 times this season — fourth-most in NFL. The Eagles have forced 26 turnovers this season — second-most in NFL.

Saints RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 4.1% of 74 carries since Week 13 — second-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 10+ yards on just 2.7% of carries to RBs since Week 13 — best in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Saints threw the ball 27% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/56 plays) in Week 16 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Saints have thrown the ball 22% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/68 plays) on 1st down since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Saints have thrown the ball 29% of the time (36 Pass Attempts/124 plays) on Early Downs since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Saints have gone three and out 14 times in the 2nd quarter this season — tied for most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Eagles have rushed for 31 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (163 carries/417 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have run 65% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 44% of plays (87 carries/196 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Saints defense has allowed first downs on 70% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Saints were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Eagles defense has sacked opponents 61 times this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (61/553) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense has averaged 4.1 sacks per game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.4.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.