Seahawks vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 13

(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
  • The Seahawks are -2 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (3-8-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Seahawks vs. Jets Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Seahawks-2 -11041.5 -110-135
Jets +2 -11041.5 -110+110

Seahawks vs. Jets Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 73.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Jets Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

  • Geno Smith has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Anders Carlson has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Allen Lazard has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.74 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 3.03% ROI
  • Seahawks are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Seahawks are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 3-8 (-5.9 Units / -47.97% ROI).

  • Jets are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.05 Units / -56.18% ROI
  • Jets are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Jets are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Seahawks were 3-7 (.300) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Seahawks are 4-2 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .624.

The Seahawks are 1-4 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

The Seahawks were 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 136.0 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Jets are winless (0-6) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .188.

The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets

The Jets have run successful plays on just 43.7% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Seahawks have pressured opposing QBs on 34.5% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 136.0 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Jets WRs have been targeted 17 times inside the 10 yardline this season — T-4th-most in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 7 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline to WRs this season — T-4th-most in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 32.0% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 35.4% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 37.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 35.4% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 24.0% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts with a light front this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged -1.95 epa per play on contested throws since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.10.

The Seahawks have run 1% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets averaged -0.25 epa per play against a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Jets averaged 13.9 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Seahawks defense did not allow a TD pass in Week 12 — T-fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of plays with a base rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jets defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 34% of first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.