- The Seahawks are a 1.5-point home underdog against the Rams.
- The Rams have won eight straight with a rest advantage against the Seahawks.
- My Seahawks vs. Rams prediction depends on the status of D.K. Metcalf.
The Seahawks look to avoid a fifth defeat in their last six games, with a divisional game against the Rams in Week 9.
Seattle fell 31-10 against the Bills in Week 8. They’re now 0-2 ATS as home underdogs this season and have allowed each of those teams to score 30 points.
Los Angeles moved to 3-4 in Week 8 with a win on TNF against the Vikings. That gives them two straight wins coming out of their Week 6 bye.
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NFL Week 9 Odds: Seahawks vs. Rams
Nov 24 - 4 pm ESTCardinals at Seahawks
Seahawks vs. Rams Prediction
If D.K. Metcalf doesn’t play on Sunday and the Rams are -2 or better, my Seahawks vs. Rams prediction is the Rams to cover the spread.
Seattle’s offense took a huge step back against the Bills. Admittedly against a strong defense, the Seahawks offense mustered only five yards per play.
There was some bad luck for Seattle.
The Seahawks kicked a field goal despite reaching the Buffalo three-yard line in the first half and didn’t score points off two attempts from the Buffalo one-yard line.
If Metcalf comes back, it allows Seattle to exploit LA’s weakness. Per PFF, the Rams are 31st in pass defensive grades and sit 22nd overall in defensive grades.
The issue? Seattle has simultaneously seen its run defense absolutely crater in recent weeks.
In the first four weeks, Seattle average a PFF run grade of 65.8 and ranked 17th in rush EPA per play. Over the last four weeks: 53.1 and 28th in rush EPA per play.
Some of that record can be attributed to the competition – Giants, 49ers, Falcons, Bills – but the Rams excel at running the ball.
This season, Los Angeles ranks 12th in rush EPA per play and third in rushing success rate.
Finally, there’s an element here of the Rams carrying a rest advantage over the Seahawks.
That mini-bye week should give an edge to the Rams, even with Seattle playing consecutive home games.
As a result, it’s the Rams or nothing for me on Sunday in Seattle.
Seahawks vs. Rams: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Friday for Seahawks vs. Rams public betting data and insights.
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