Steelers vs Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7, SNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:31 AM
  • The Dolphins (3-3) are -7 point favorites vs the Steelers (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (3-3) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Miami Gardens.

The Dolphins are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Steelers vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Steelers +7 -105 44.5 -110 +260
Dolphins -7 -115 44.5 -110 -350

Steelers vs. Dolphins Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 7 game with 71.0% confidence.

Steelers vs Dolphins Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 7 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Dolphins, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.35 Units / 54% ROI)

 

Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Teddy Bridgewater has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Myles Gaskin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Myles Gaskin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Dolphins vs Steelers

Player Name Over Under
Jaylen Waddle 58.5 -120 58.5 -110
Pat Freiermuth 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Najee Harris 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Tyreek Hill 78.5 -115 78.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Dolphins vs Steelers

Player Name Over Under
Raheem Mostert 63.5 -115 63.5 -115
Najee Harris 45.5 -110 45.5 -120

 

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)

 

 

  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+11.20 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)

 

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI).

  • Steelers are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 24.24% ROI
  • Steelers are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Steelers are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / ROI

Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.48% ROI).

  • Dolphins are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 7.59% ROI
  • Dolphins are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Dolphins are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Steelers are winless (0-6-1) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.

The Steelers are 6-4 (.600) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .439.

The Steelers are 7-2 (.778) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .717.

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Dolphins were 6-1 (.857) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

The Dolphins were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 defenses last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Dolphins are 1-9 (.100) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .215.

The Dolphins are 6-2 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .439.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have 13 touchdown passes this season — fifth-most in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 13 passing TDs this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Dolphins have thrown for 2,230 passing yards in 6 games (371.7 YPG) this season — second-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 316.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Dolphins have averaged 465 yards from scrimmage per game (2,790 YFS / 6 G) this season — third-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 463.0 yards from scrimmage per game (2,778/6) this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Steelers have gone three and out on 36.8% of their drives this season — second-worst in NFL. Dolphins have forced three and outs on 33.8% of opponent drives this season — third-best in NFL.

The Steelers have run successful plays on just 38.3% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. Dolphins have allowed successful plays on just 39.6% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have gone three and out on 44.1% of their drives in the first half this season — tied for worst in NFL. Dolphins have forced three and outs on 35.3% of opponent drives in the first half this season — third-best in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Steelers threw the ball 69% of the time (99 Pass Attempts/144 plays) in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers ran 22% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Steelers averaged just 5.5 yards per attempt (1,225 yards/224 attempts) on 1st down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.4.

Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Dolphins have gone three and out on 53% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Dolphins have averaged 39.2 offensive penalty yards per game (235/6) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22.7.

The Dolphins have gone three and out 9 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Dolphins have averaged 179.2 yards from scrimmage per game (1,075 yards / 6 games) in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 107.3.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Steelers defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 30 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense have forced three and outs on 31% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Dolphins defense has one interception and 12 TD passes allowed this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Dolphins defense has intercepted one of 235 attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45.8.

25% of the plays ran against the Dolphins were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (4 completions/20 attempts) when they have pressured the QB this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.