- The Chargers are -7.5 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Tennessee Titans (2-6-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (5-3-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Titans vs. Chargers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Titans | +7.5 -110 | 38 -110 | +300 |
Chargers | -7.5 -110 | 38 -110 | -375 |
Titans vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Will Levis has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+3.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans art 1-7 (-6.65 Units / -76.88% ROI).
- Titans are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -47.42% ROI
- Titans are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
- Titans are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI).
- Chargers are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 13.58% ROI
- Chargers are 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Chargers are 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans were winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Titans are 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers are winless (0-8) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were 1-8 (.111) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Chargers were winless (0-11) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 32.7% this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.4% this season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 11.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have run 32% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans have run 30% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have started 9 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st half this season — most in NFL.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 26% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 25% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46% on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 37% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Chargers defense have allowed -0.23 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 45.8 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
The Chargers defense has sacked opposing QBs on 55% of pass attempts (24/44) when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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