Vikings vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 1

min read
Giants player number 8 holding a NFL game ball.
(AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:26 PM
  • The Vikings are -1.5 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Vikings vs. Giants Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vikings-1.5 -11041.5 -110-120
Giants +1.5 -11041.5 -110+100

Vikings vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 51.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.


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Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.65 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Vikings

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Aaron Jones (MIN) +750
Justin Jefferson (Min) +750
Devin Singletary (NYG) +750

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Vikings

Player Name Over Under
Aaron Jones (MIN) 13.5 -120 13.5 -110
Malik Nabers (NYG) 57.5 -115 57.5 -120
Wan'Dale Robinson (NYG) 26.5 -115 26.5 -115
Devin Singletary (NYG) 9.5 -120 9.5 -110
Jordan Addison (MIN) 46.5 -115 46.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Vikings

Player Name Over Under
Aaron Jones (MIN) 53.5 -115 53.5 -115
Sam Darnold (MIN) 9.5 -115 9.5 -115
Daniel Jones (NYG) 26.5 -120 26.5 -110
Devin Singletary (NYG) 50.5 -110 50.5 -120
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+5.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Vikings went 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Vikings are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 131.67% ROI
  • Vikings are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Vikings are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Giants went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI).

  • Giants are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -35.96% ROI
  • Giants are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Vikings were 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 9th-worst in NFL. The Giants intercepted 18 passes last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

The Vikings were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Vikings were 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

The Vikings were 2-6 (.250) at home last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .558.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 defenses last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.

The Giants were 4-10 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants

The Giants went three and out on 36.7% of their drives in the first half last season — worst in NFL. The Vikings forced three and outs on 28% of opponent drives in the first half last season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Vikings ran successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Giants allowed successful plays on 64.3% of pass attempts on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

The Vikings were successful on 62.7% of plays they have run on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Giants allowed their opponents to be successful on 62.1% of plays on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

The Vikings were 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 9th-worst in NFL. The Giants intercepted 18 passes last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings had 9 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The Vikings started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 18 — T-most in NFL.

The Vikings ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Vikings faced a blitz 34% of the time in Week 18 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.

The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Giants went three and out on 30% of their drives last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Vikings defense blitzed 309 times last season — most in NFL.

The Vikings defense blitzed on 28% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Vikings defense blitzed on 26% of plays in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 12% of the time (140 Pass Attempts/1,148 plays) since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Giants defense blitzed on 26% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.