- The Vikings are -1 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 48 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN+ | ESPD
The Minnesota Vikings () visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams () on Jan. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Vikings vs. Rams Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Vikings | -1 -105 | 48 -115 | -115 |
Rams | +1 -115 | 48 -105 | -105 |
Vikings vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Rams Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Johnny Mundt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cooper Kupp has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 89% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Puka Nacua has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 90% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Rams vs Vikings
Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
---|---|
Kyren Williams (LAR) | +500 |
Justin Jefferson (Min) | +700 |
Puka Nacua (LAR) | +750 |
Aaron Jones (MIN) | +800 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Rams vs Vikings
Player Name | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
Jordan Addison (MIN) | 58.5 -120 | 58.5 -110 |
Kyren Williams (LAR) | 10.5 -110 | 10.5 -120 |
Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 88.5 -115 | 88.5 -115 |
Aaron Jones (MIN) | 18.5 -115 | 18.5 -115 |
Cooper Kupp (LAR) | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Rams vs Vikings
Player Name | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
Matthew Stafford (LAR) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Aaron Jones (MIN) | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
Kyren Williams (LAR) | 83.5 -120 | 83.5 -110 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+15.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.84 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.93 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 10-5 (+4.45 Units / 23.86% ROI).
- Vikings are 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 38.94% ROI
- Vikings are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- Vikings are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 9-8 (+0.25 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- Rams are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 20.58% ROI
- Rams are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI
- Rams are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Vikings are undefeated (10-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
The Vikings are 2-1 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Vikings are 5-3 (.625) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .278.
The Vikings are 12-1 (.923) when scoring 22 or more points this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Rams are undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
The Rams are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .526.
The Rams were 3-1 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams ran successful plays on 62.1% of pass attempts against a base front last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed successful plays on 65.0% of pass attempts with a base front last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Rams were successful on 58.3% of plays they ran with motion last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed their opponents to be successful on 60.6% of plays against motion last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Rams were successful on 55.9% of plays they ran against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed their opponents to be successful on 60.9% of plays with a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings ran successful plays on just 19.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Rams allowed successful plays on just 26.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged 0.50 epa per play against open coverage since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed 0.43 epa per play with open coverage since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
Vikings TEs have 65.4 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed an average of61.4 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings faced a blitz 39% of the time in Week 18 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Vikings turned the ball over on downs 3 times in Week 18 — T-most in NFL.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 7% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams went three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Rams averaged -0.51 epa per play against a light rush last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Rams have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Rams have run successful plays on 65% of plays against a stacked front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 29% of plays since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense has allowed a passer rating of just 15.7 with a stacked front (17 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 113.4.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 29% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 49.8 on 3rd and long (63 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Rams defense have allowed just 3.7 yards per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.2.
Offenses facing the Rams threw deep balls on 29% of pass attempts (23/79) on 3rd and long last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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