- The Vikings are -1.5 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 47 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN+ | ESPD
The Minnesota Vikings visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams on Jan. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this NFC Wild Card matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Rams Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -1.5 -110 | 47 -110 | -125 |
| Rams | +1.5 -110 | 47 -110 | +105 |
Vikings vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 74.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Rams Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cooper Kupp has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 89% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Puka Nacua has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 90% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+14.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.74 Units / 17% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.93 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.56 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 10-5 (+4.45 Units / 23.86% ROI).
- Vikings are 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 38.94% ROI
- Vikings are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- Vikings are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 9-8 (+0.25 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- Rams are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 20.58% ROI
- Rams are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI
- Rams are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Vikings are 6-1 (.857) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 250.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings are 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Vikings are undefeated (10-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .606.
The Vikings are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 run offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .338.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Rams are undefeated (5-0) when scoring 22 or more points this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .743.
The Rams are undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
The Rams are 10-6 (.625) this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams have been successful on 54.1% of plays they have run against a heavy rush this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponents to be successful on 53.3% of plays with a heavy rush this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Rams have run successful plays on 57.6% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed successful plays on 53.6% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings ran successful plays on 62.8% of pass attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed successful plays on 67.5% of pass attempts last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown for 4,213 passing yards in 16 games (263.3 YPG) this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 250.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged 0.51 epa per play against open coverage since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 0.43 epa per play with open coverage since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
26% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (79 of 299) came on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Vikings have run 64% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams have run successful plays on 75% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Rams have averaged 0.71 epa per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Rams went three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Rams have targeted WRs 70% of the time (776 Pass Attempts/1,101 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 29% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of rush attempts against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense have allowed just 3.7 yards per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 6.2.
The Rams defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (63 completions/139 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Rams defense has allowed successful plays on 50% of pass attempts with a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Offenses facing the Rams threw deep balls on 29% of pass attempts (23/79) on 3rd and long last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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