- Brighton is predicted to be a -1.5-goal favorite against Ipswich Town.
- Brighton is one of five unbeaten Premier League teams to start the season.
- I predict Brighton is a good moneyline parlay leg against Ipswich Town.
Out of the international break, Brighton look to continue their positive results at home against Ipswich Town.
A red card changed the scope of Brighton’s last fixture vs. Arsenal. The Seagulls gained a man advantage early in the second half and captured a point as big road underdogs.
As for Ipswich, they finally earned points. A Liam Delap strike gave the Tractor Boys a lead, but the match ended 1-1 against Fulham.
Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for this fixture.
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Odds, Premier League
- Brighton Moneyline: -275
- Ipswich Town Moneyline: +675
- Draw Moneyline: +400
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-185/+130)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-120), No (-115)
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Prediction: Moneyline
My prediction for Brighton vs. Ipswich is to use the Brighton Moneyline (-275) as a parlay piece.
I’ll pair it with the Crystal Palace Moneyline (-160) for a price of +121. Head to my Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City prediction for a breakdown of the Palace moneyline.
Regarding Brighton, the Seagulls thoroughly dominated newly promoted teams last season.
Even though they finished 1-2-0 (W-D-L) in the three home games against such teams, two were played on short rest following a Thursday match, with one featuring a Brighton red card.
Still, they managed to post a +6.7 post-shot xGDiff in the two matches played on level terms, per fbref.com.
Plus, Fabian Huerzler’s side dominated Manchester United in their lone home match of the season. The game finished 2-1 Brighton, but the Seagulls won the psxG battle 2.5-0.4.
It should be fairly obvious Manchester United is a superior team to Ipswich Town, who have admittedly faced a difficult schedule.
However, just before the break, they pulled out a lucky 1-1 draw against Fulham. For the match, the Tractor Boys lost the psxG battle 1.1 to 0.4.
Finally, Brighton matches a historically profitable system.
Since 2012, home favorites priced between -330 and +114 with 13-15 days between games are 73.1% SU, assuming their previous game margin fell between -1 and +2.
When those teams are priced between -330 and -230, they improve to 85.2% SU.
As a result, Brighton should cruise against Ipswich out of the break.
Brighton Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 at Arsenal: 1-1, D
- Aug. 27 vs. Crawley: 4-0, W (EFL Cup)
- Aug. 24 vs. Manchester United: 2-1, W
- Aug. 17 at Everton: 3-0, W
- Aug. 10 vs. Villarreal: 4-0, W (Friendly)
Ipswich Town Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 vs. Fulham: 1-1, D
- Aug. 28 at Wimbledon: 2-2, D (EFL Cup, Ipswich Advance)
- Aug. 24 at Manchester City: 1-4, L
- Aug. 17 vs. Liverpool: 0–2, L
- Aug. 10 vs. Nice: 1-0, W (Friendly)
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Brighton & Hove Albion odds and Ipswich Town odds!
EPL Match Schedule This Weekend
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Newcastle United | Manchester City | Sep. 28 | 7:30 a.m. | St. James' Park |
| Arsenal | Leicester City | Sep. 28 | 10 a.m. | Emirates Stadium |
| Brentford | West Ham United | Sep. 28 | 10 a.m. | GTech Community Stadium |
| Chelsea | Brighton & Hove Albion | Sep. 28 | 10 a.m. | Stamford Bridge |
| Everton | Crystal Palace | Sep. 28 | 10 a.m. | Goodison Park |
| Nottingham Forest | Fulham | Sep. 28 | 10 a.m. | The City Ground |
| Wolves | Liverpool | Sep. 28 | 12:30 p.m. | Molineux |
| Ipswich Town | Aston Villa | Sep. 29 | 9 a.m. | Portman Road |
| Manchester United | Tottenham | Sep. 29 | 11:30 a.m. | Old Trafford |
| Bournemouth | Southampton | Sep. 30 | 3 p.m. | Vitality Stadium |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Manchester City | 4-1-0 | 13 | 8 |
| Liverpool | 4-0-1 | 12 | 9 |
| Aston Villa | 4-0-1 | 12 | 3 |
| Arsenal | 3-2-0 | 11 | 5 |
| Chelsea | 3-1-1 | 10 | 6 |
| Newcastle United | 3-1-1 | 10 | 1 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-3-0 | 9 | 4 |
| Nottingham Forest | 2-3-0 | 9 | 2 |
| Fulham | 2-2-1 | 8 | 2 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 2-1-2 | 7 | 4 |
| Manchester United | 2-1-2 | 7 | 0 |
| Brentford | 2-0-3 | 6 | -2 |
| Bournemouth | 1-2-2 | 5 | -3 |
| West Ham United | 1-1-3 | 4 | -4 |
| Leicester City | 0-3-2 | 3 | -2 |
| Crystal Palace | 0-3-2 | 3 | -3 |
| Ipswich Town | 0-3-2 | 3 | -5 |
| Southampton | 0-1-4 | 1 | -7 |
| Everton | 0-1-4 | 1 | -9 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-1-4 | 1 | -9 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS Win Pct. | Home ATS Record | Home ATS Win Pct. | Road ATS Record | Road ATS Win Pct. |
| Arsenal | 3-2-0 | .600 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 3-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Aston Villa | 4-1-0 | .800 | 2-1-0 | .667 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Bournemouth | 3-2-0 | .600 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 2-1-0 | .667 |
| Brentford | 3-2-0 | .600 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 | 1-2-0 | .333 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 3-2-0 | .600 | 1-2-0 | .333 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Chelsea | 3-2-0 | .600 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 3-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Crystal Palace | 2-3-0 | .400 | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-1-0 | .500 |
| Everton | 1-4-0 | .200 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 1-2-0 | .333 |
| Fulham | 2-3-0 | .400 | 2-1-0 | .667 | 0-2-0 | .000 |
| Ipswich Town | 3-2-0 | .600 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 2-1-0 | .667 |
| Leicester City | 2-3-0 | .400 | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-1-0 | .500 |
| Liverpool | 4-1-0 | .800 | 2-1-0 | .667 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Manchester City | 3-2-0 | .600 | 1-2-0 | .333 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Manchester United | 2-3-0 | .400 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 1-2-0 | .333 |
| Newcastle United | 2-3-0 | .400 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 1-2-0 | .333 |
| Nottingham Forest | 3-2-0 | .600 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 3-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Southampton | 1-4-0 | .200 | 0-3-0 | .000 | 1-1-0 | .500 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 2-3-0 | .400 | 2-1-0 | .500 | 0-2-0 | .000 |
| West Ham United | 2-3-0 | .400 | 0-3-0 | .000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-3-0 | .400 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 2-1-0 | .667 |
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