- Brighton is predicted to be a -1.5-goal favorite against Ipswich Town.
- Brighton is one of five unbeaten Premier League teams to start the season.
- I predict Brighton is a good moneyline parlay leg against Ipswich Town.
Out of the international break, Brighton look to continue their positive results at home against Ipswich Town.
A red card changed the scope of Brighton’s last fixture vs. Arsenal. The Seagulls gained a man advantage early in the second half and captured a point as big road underdogs.
As for Ipswich, they finally earned points. A Liam Delap strike gave the Tractor Boys a lead, but the match ended 1-1 against Fulham.
Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for this fixture.
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Odds, Premier League
- Brighton Moneyline: -275
- Ipswich Town Moneyline: +675
- Draw Moneyline: +400
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-185/+130)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-120), No (-115)
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Prediction: Moneyline
My prediction for Brighton vs. Ipswich is to use the Brighton Moneyline (-275) as a parlay piece.
I’ll pair it with the Crystal Palace Moneyline (-160) for a price of +121. Head to my Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City prediction for a breakdown of the Palace moneyline.
Regarding Brighton, the Seagulls thoroughly dominated newly promoted teams last season.
Even though they finished 1-2-0 (W-D-L) in the three home games against such teams, two were played on short rest following a Thursday match, with one featuring a Brighton red card.
Still, they managed to post a +6.7 post-shot xGDiff in the two matches played on level terms, per fbref.com.
Plus, Fabian Huerzler’s side dominated Manchester United in their lone home match of the season. The game finished 2-1 Brighton, but the Seagulls won the psxG battle 2.5-0.4.
It should be fairly obvious Manchester United is a superior team to Ipswich Town, who have admittedly faced a difficult schedule.
However, just before the break, they pulled out a lucky 1-1 draw against Fulham. For the match, the Tractor Boys lost the psxG battle 1.1 to 0.4.
Finally, Brighton matches a historically profitable system.
Since 2012, home favorites priced between -330 and +114 with 13-15 days between games are 73.1% SU, assuming their previous game margin fell between -1 and +2.
When those teams are priced between -330 and -230, they improve to 85.2% SU.
As a result, Brighton should cruise against Ipswich out of the break.
Brighton Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 at Arsenal: 1-1, D
- Aug. 27 vs. Crawley: 4-0, W (EFL Cup)
- Aug. 24 vs. Manchester United: 2-1, W
- Aug. 17 at Everton: 3-0, W
- Aug. 10 vs. Villarreal: 4-0, W (Friendly)
Ipswich Town Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 vs. Fulham: 1-1, D
- Aug. 28 at Wimbledon: 2-2, D (EFL Cup, Ipswich Advance)
- Aug. 24 at Manchester City: 1-4, L
- Aug. 17 vs. Liverpool: 0–2, L
- Aug. 10 vs. Nice: 1-0, W (Friendly)
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Brighton & Hove Albion odds and Ipswich Town odds!
EPL Match Schedule This Weekend
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Nottingham Forest | Chelsea | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | The City Ground |
| Southampton | Arsenal | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Anfield |
| Ipswich Town | West Ham | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Portman Road |
| Bournemouth | Leicester City | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Vitality Stadium |
| Man United | Aston Villa | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Old Trafford |
| Newcastle | Everton | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | St. James' Park |
| Tottenham | Brighton | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Wolves | Brentford | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Molineux |
| Fulham | Manchester City | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 25-8-4 | 83 | 45 |
| Arsenal | 19-14-4 | 71 | 34 |
| Manchester City | 20-8-9 | 68 | 26 |
| Newcastle United | 20-6-11 | 66 | 22 |
| Chelsea | 19-9-9 | 66 | 20 |
| Aston Villa | 19-9-9 | 66 | 9 |
| Nottingham Forest | 19-8-10 | 65 | 13 |
| Brighton | 15-14-8 | 58 | 4 |
| Brentford | 16-7-14 | 55 | 9 |
| Fulham | 15-9-13 | 54 | 2 |
| Bournemouth | 14-11-12 | 53 | 9 |
| Crystal Palace | 13-13-11 | 52 | 0 |
| Everton | 10-15-12 | 45 | -3 |
| Wolves | 12-5-20 | 41 | -15 |
| West Ham | 10-10-17 | 40 | -18 |
| Manchester United | 10-9-18 | 39 | -12 |
| Tottenham | 11-5-21 | 38 | 2 |
| Leicester City | 6-7-24 | 25 | -45 |
| Ipswich Town | 4-10-23 | 22 | -44 |
| Southampton | 2-6-29 | 12 | -59 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 14-17-6 | 45.9% | 5-10-4 | 36.8% | 9-7-2 | 55.6% |
| Aston Villa | 18-18-1 | 50.0% | 9-9-1 | 50.0% | 9-9-0 | 50.0% |
| Bournemouth | 19-16-2 | 54.1% | 8-10-0 | 44.4% | 11-6-2 | 63.2% |
| Brentford | 22-12-3 | 63.5% | 11-8-0 | 57.9% | 11-4-3 | 69.4% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 21-15-1 | 58.1% | 10-9-0 | 52.6% | 11-6-1 | 63.9% |
| Chelsea | 13-20-4 | 40.5% | 7-9-3 | 44.7% | 6-11-1 | 36.1% |
| Crystal Palace | 20-13-4 | 59.5% | 8-7-4 | 52.6% | 12-6-0 | 66.7% |
| Everton | 19-12-6 | 59.5% | 9-8-2 | 52.6% | 10-4-4 | 66.7% |
| Fulham | 18-14-4 | 55.6% | 8-10-0 | 44.4% | 10-5-4 | 63.2% |
| Ipswich Town | 14-20-3 | 41.9% | 4-13-1 | 25.0% | 10-7-2 | 57.9% |
| Leicester City | 18-18-1 | 50.0% | 8-11-0 | 42.1% | 10-7-1 | 58.3% |
| Liverpool | 16-19-2 | 45.9% | 7-9-2 | 44.4% | 9-10-0 | 47.4% |
| Manchester City | 13-24-0 | 35.1% | 7-12-0 | 36.8% | 6-12-0 | 33.3% |
| Manchester United | 14-18-5 | 44.6% | 7-9-2 | 44.4% | 7-9-3 | 44.7% |
| Newcastle United | 21-15-1 | 58.1% | 13-5-0 | 72.2% | 8-10-1 | 44.7% |
| Nottingham Forest | 23-14-0 | 62.2% | 10-8-0 | 55.6% | 13-6-0 | 68.4% |
| Southampton | 13-20-4 | 40.5% | 4-12-2 | 27.8% | 9-8-2 | 52.6% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 13-23-1 | 36.5% | 6-11-1 | 36.1% | 7-12-0 | 36.8% |
| West Ham United | 18-17-2 | 51.4% | 6-12-1 | 34.2% | 12-6-0 | 66.7% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 19-15-3 | 55.4% | 8-8-2 | 50.0% | 11-7-1 | 60.5% |
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