- Brighton is predicted to be a -1.5-goal favorite against Ipswich Town.
- Brighton is one of five unbeaten Premier League teams to start the season.
- I predict Brighton is a good moneyline parlay leg against Ipswich Town.
Out of the international break, Brighton look to continue their positive results at home against Ipswich Town.
A red card changed the scope of Brighton’s last fixture vs. Arsenal. The Seagulls gained a man advantage early in the second half and captured a point as big road underdogs.
As for Ipswich, they finally earned points. A Liam Delap strike gave the Tractor Boys a lead, but the match ended 1-1 against Fulham.
Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for this fixture.
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Odds, Premier League
- Brighton Moneyline: -275
- Ipswich Town Moneyline: +675
- Draw Moneyline: +400
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-185/+130)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-120), No (-115)
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Prediction: Moneyline
My prediction for Brighton vs. Ipswich is to use the Brighton Moneyline (-275) as a parlay piece.
I’ll pair it with the Crystal Palace Moneyline (-160) for a price of +121. Head to my Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City prediction for a breakdown of the Palace moneyline.
Regarding Brighton, the Seagulls thoroughly dominated newly promoted teams last season.
Even though they finished 1-2-0 (W-D-L) in the three home games against such teams, two were played on short rest following a Thursday match, with one featuring a Brighton red card.
Still, they managed to post a +6.7 post-shot xGDiff in the two matches played on level terms, per fbref.com.
Plus, Fabian Huerzler’s side dominated Manchester United in their lone home match of the season. The game finished 2-1 Brighton, but the Seagulls won the psxG battle 2.5-0.4.
It should be fairly obvious Manchester United is a superior team to Ipswich Town, who have admittedly faced a difficult schedule.
However, just before the break, they pulled out a lucky 1-1 draw against Fulham. For the match, the Tractor Boys lost the psxG battle 1.1 to 0.4.
Finally, Brighton matches a historically profitable system.
Since 2012, home favorites priced between -330 and +114 with 13-15 days between games are 73.1% SU, assuming their previous game margin fell between -1 and +2.
When those teams are priced between -330 and -230, they improve to 85.2% SU.
As a result, Brighton should cruise against Ipswich out of the break.
Brighton Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 at Arsenal: 1-1, D
- Aug. 27 vs. Crawley: 4-0, W (EFL Cup)
- Aug. 24 vs. Manchester United: 2-1, W
- Aug. 17 at Everton: 3-0, W
- Aug. 10 vs. Villarreal: 4-0, W (Friendly)
Ipswich Town Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 vs. Fulham: 1-1, D
- Aug. 28 at Wimbledon: 2-2, D (EFL Cup, Ipswich Advance)
- Aug. 24 at Manchester City: 1-4, L
- Aug. 17 vs. Liverpool: 0–2, L
- Aug. 10 vs. Nice: 1-0, W (Friendly)
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Brighton & Hove Albion odds and Ipswich Town odds!
EPL Match Schedule This Weekend
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Brighton | Chelsea | Feb. 14 | 3 p.m. | Amex Stadium |
| Leicester City | Arsenal | Feb. 15 | 7:30 a.m. | King Power Stadium |
| Aston Villa | Ipswich Town | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | Villa Park |
| Fulham | Nottingham Forest | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
| Man City | Newcastle United | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | Etihad Stadium |
| Southampton | Bournemouth | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
| West Ham United | Brentford | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | London Stadium |
| Crystal Palace | Everton | Feb. 15 | 12:30 p.m. | Selhurst Park |
| Liverpool | Wolves | Feb. 16 | 9 a.m. | Anfield |
| Tottenham | Manchester United | Feb. 16 | 11:30 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 17-5-1 | 56 | 35 |
| Arsenal | 14-8-2 | 50 | 27 |
| Nottingham Forest | 14-5-5 | 47 | 13 |
| Chelsea | 12-7-5 | 43 | 16 |
| Manchester City | 12-5-7 | 41 | 13 |
| Newcastle United | 12-5-7 | 41 | 13 |
| Bournemouth | 11-7-6 | 40 | 13 |
| Aston Villa | 10-7-7 | 37 | -3 |
| Fulham | 9-9-6 | 36 | 4 |
| Brighton | 8-10-6 | 34 | -3 |
| Brentford | 9-4-11 | 31 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace | 7-9-8 | 30 | -2 |
| Manchester United | 8-5-11 | 29 | -6 |
| Tottenham | 8-3-13 | 27 | 11 |
| West Ham United | 7-6-11 | 27 | -17 |
| Everton | 6-8-9 | 26 | -5 |
| Wolves | 5-4-15 | 19 | -18 |
| Leicester City | 3-5-15 | 17 | -28 |
| Ipswich Town | 3-7-14 | 16 | -27 |
| Southampton | 2-3-19 | 9 | -36 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 10-11-5 | 48.1% | 3-7-3 | 34.6% | 7-4-2 | 61.5% |
| Aston Villa | 10-16-1 | 38.9% | 5-9-1 | 36.7% | 5-7-0 | 41.7% |
| Bournemouth | 17-9-0 | 65.4% | 7-6-0 | 53.8% | 10-3-0 | 76.9% |
| Brentford | 16-8-2 | 65.4% | 8-5-0 | 61.5% | 8-3-2 | 69.2% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 14-11-1 | 55.8% | 5-7-0 | 41.7% | 9-4-1 | 67.9% |
| Chelsea | 9-15-2 | 38.5% | 4-7-1 | 37.5% | 5-8-1 | 39.3% |
| Crystal Palace | 14-9-3 | 59.6% | 4-6-3 | 42.3% | 10-3-0 | 76.9% |
| Everton | 14-9-3 | 59.6% | 7-5-2 | 57.1% | 7-4-1 | 62.5% |
| Fulham | 15-9-2 | 61.5% | 6-8-0 | 42.9% | 8-2-2 | 75.0% |
| Ipswich Town | 11-14-1 | 44.2% | 4-10-0 | 28.6% | 7-4-1 | 62.5% |
| Leicester City | 11-14-1 | 44.2% | 5-9-0 | 35.7% | 6-5-1 | 54.2% |
| Liverpool | 13-12-1 | 51.9% | 5-6-1 | 45.8% | 8-6-0 | 57.1% |
| Manchester City | 8-17-0 | 32.0% | 4-8-0 | 33.3% | 4-9-0 | 30.8% |
| Manchester United | 10-13-3 | 44.2% | 5-7-1 | 42.3% | 5-6-2 | 46.2% |
| Newcastle United | 13-11-1 | 54.0% | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 6-6-1 | 50.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 16-9-0 | 64.0% | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 9-4-0 | 69.2% |
| Southampton | 9-14-3 | 40.4% | 2-10-1 | 19.2% | 7-4-2 | 61.5% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 11-15-0 | 42.3% | 5-8-0 | 38.5% | 6-7-0 | 46.2% |
| West Ham United | 13-12-1 | 51.9% | 4-8-1 | 34.6% | 9-4-0 | 69.2% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 12-12-2 | 50.0% | 5-6-1 | 45.8% | 7-6-1 | 53.6% |
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