- Chelsea is a -0.5-goal favorite against Everton.
- Everton earned a 2-0 home win in the last head-to-head meeting.
- Why this game is a great live betting opportunity.
Itโs the Monday Premier League standalone match as Chelsea welcome Everton to Goodison Park.ย
Everton, who produced a 2-0 win over Chelsea in an earlier meeting this season, enters this match in good form. Last time out, they beat Burnley 1-0 at home.ย
As for Chelsea, they blew a 2-1 advantage late at Sheffield United to draw 2-2.ย
Hereโs a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Mondayโs match.ย
EPL Betting Odds – Chelsea vs. Everton
- Chelsea Moneyline: -150
- Everton Moneyline: +350
- Draw Moneyline: +320
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-190/+138)
EPL Prediction – Chelsea vs. Everton
Everton 2H Over 0.5 (-110) | Look for Everton +1.5 Live
From a spread standpoint, this game is quite interesting to me.ย
Chelsea find themselves in a historically profitable moneyline range.ย
Over the last four seasons, teams sitting between -131 and -174 are 67% SU, including 23-10 when they lost the previous meeting.ย
However, Everton have looked good this season as dogs against teams they either drew or beat in the previous head-to-head meeting.
The sample is a touch small for my liking, but the Toffees are 6-1-1 ATS against such teams, including 2-1 ATS in their last three.ย
Worth noting โ theyโve stayed within a goal in three straight games against those teams.ย
I lean to Everton +0.5 and the draw moneyline in this game, but Iโd prefer to try and find Everton +1.5 live.ย
They found themselves down to Bournemouth on 64 minutes and conceded an early goal to Newcastle United in their last road fixture.ย
Chelsea have opened the scoring in six straight fixtures, so thereโs a chance bettors could find a better number live.
If it gets to +1.5 live, Iโd take it. If Everton can hang on for a half and +0.5 is available at -135 or better, itโs worth a bet for the second half.ย
As for the team total, this is largely a fade of Chelseaโs sub-par defense.ย
This season, Chelsea has conceded at least one goal in 20 of 30 second halves, including six straight.ย
The last time they faced Everton, Chelsea conceded both of their goals in the second half at Goodison Park.ย
Recently, Evertonโs attack has struggled to create in the first half.ย
In their last five games in which theyโve scored, four of their solitary goals have come in the second half.ย
I donโt expect Everton to come out of their shell until theyโre behind, so bettors shouldnโt expect them to go for it here.ย
Add in the heavy juice on both teams to score (-175), and itโs reasonable to assume thereโs an Everton goal in this match.ย
Take it to come in the second half rather than -250 for the match.ย
Chelsea Formย
April 7 at Sheffield United: 2-2, D
April 4 vs. Manchester United: 4-3, W
March 30 vs. Burnley: 2-2, D
March 17 vs. Leicester City: 4-2, W (FA Cup)
March 11 vs. Newcastle United: 3-2, W
Everton Form
April 6 vs. Burnley: 1-0, W
April 2 at Newcastle United: 1-1, D
March 30 at Bournemouth: 1-2, L
March 9 at Manchester United: 0-2, L
March 2 vs. West Ham United: 1-3, L
Upcoming EPL Match Schedule
Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
Southampton | Manchester United | Sep. 14 | 7:30 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Ipswich Town | Sep. 14 | 10 a.m. | Amex Stadium |
Crystal Palace | Leicester City | Sep. 14 | 10 a.m. | Selhurst Park |
Fulham | West Ham United | Sep. 14 | 10 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
Liverpool | Nottingham Forest | Sep. 14 | 10 a.m. | Anfield |
Manchester City | Brentford | Sep. 14 | 10 a.m. | Etihad Stadium |
Aston Villa | Everton | Sep. 14 | 12:30 p.m. | Villa Park |
Bournemouth | Chelsea | Sep. 14 | 3:30 p.m. | Vitality Stadium |
Tottenham | Arsenal | Sep. 15 | 9 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
Wolves | Newcastle United | Sep. 15 | 11 a.m. | Molineux |
EPL Standings
Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
Liverpool | 3-0-0 | 9 | 7 |
Manchester City | 3-0-0 | 9 | 7 |
Arsenal | 2-1-0 | 7 | 4 |
Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-1-0 | 7 | 4 |
Newcastle United | 2-1-0 | 7 | 2 |
Brentford | 2-0-1 | 6 | 1 |
Aston Villa | 2-0-1 | 6 | 0 |
Bournemouth | 1-2-0 | 5 | 1 |
Tottenham Hotspur | 1-1-1 | 4 | 3 |
Nottingham Forest | 1-2-0 | 5 | 1 |
Chelsea | 1-1-1 | 4 | 2 |
Fulham | 1-1-1 | 4 | 0 |
West Ham United | 1-0-2 | 3 | -1 |
Manchester United | 1-0-2 | 3 | -3 |
Leicester City | 0-1-2 | 1 | -2 |
Crystal Palace | 0-1-2 | 1 | -3 |
Ipswich Town | 0-1-2 | 1 | -5 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-1-2 | 1 | -6 |
Southampton | 0-0-3 | 0 | -4 |
Everton | 0-0-3 | 0 | -8 |
EPL ATS Records
Team | ATS Record | ATS Win Pct. | Home ATS Record | Home ATS Win Pct. | Road ATS Record | Road ATS Win Pct. |
Arsenal | 1-2-0 | .333 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 |
Aston Villa | 2-1-0 | .667 | 0-1-0 | .000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
Bournemouth | 3-0-0 | 1.000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
Brentford | 2-1-0 | .667 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 | 0-1-0 | .000 |
Brighton & Hove Albion | 3-0-0 | 1.000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
Chelsea | 1-2-0 | .333 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 |
Crystal Palace | 1-2-0 | .333 | 0-1-0 | .000 | 1-1-0 | .500 |
Everton | 0-3-0 | .000 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 0-1-0 | .000 |
Fulham | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 | 0-2-0 | .000 |
Ipswich Town | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 0-1-0 | .000 |
Leicester City | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 0-1-0 | .000 |
Liverpool | 3-0-0 | 1.000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
Manchester City | 3-0-0 | 1.000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
Manchester United | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 0-1-0 | .000 |
Newcastle United | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-1-0 | .500 | 0-1-0 | .000 |
Nottingham Forest | 1-2-0 | .333 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 |
Southampton | 1-2-0 | .333 | 0-1-0 | .000 | 1-1-0 | .500 |
Tottenham Hotspur | 1-2-0 | .333 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 | 0-2-0 | .000 |
West Ham United | 1-2-0 | .333 | 0-2-0 | .000 | 1-0-0 | 1.000 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-1-0 | .667 | 0-1-0 | .000 | 2-0-0 | 1.000 |
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