Tottenham vs. Fulham Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

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Tottenham's James Maddison, centre, celebrates with Tottenham's Son Heung-min after scoring his side's second goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, Monday, Oct. 23, 2023.
(Kin Cheung/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Mar 15, 2024, 2:13 PM
  • Tottenham is a -0.5-goal favorite against Fulham.
  • Tottenham earned a 2-0 home win in the previous head-to-head meeting.
  • Bettors should look to this prop market for Saturday’s fixture.

Ahead of Saturday’s London Derby at Craven Cottage, I’m here to offer a Tottenham vs. Fulham prediction. 

Tottenham, who earned a 2-0 home win the previous fixture, are coming off a 4-0 road win at Aston Villa. 

Meanwhile, Fulham lost 2-1 at the Wolves last weekend despite winning the expected goals battle at Molineux. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my best bet for Saturday’s fixture. 

EPL Betting Odds – Tottenham vs. Fulham

  • Tottenham Moneyline: +105
  • Fulham Moneyline: +220
  • Draw Moneyline: +280
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+120/-165)

EPL Prediction – Tottenham vs. Fulham

LEAN Tottenham First Half Over 0.5 (-145)

If you forced me to make a bet for this game, I’d back this market. That said, the current price is a little too high for comfort, given Tottenham are on the road. 

That said, Tottenham’s offense has largely proved quite efficient early as a road favorite.

Sample seven Tottenham matches this season in which they closed a road favorite and bettors will find they’ve scored a first-half goal five times. 

The underlying metrics back up those performances as Tottenham have created 8.43 post shot expected goals in those seven first halves and surpassed 0.5 psxG in all but one match. 

Now they get a Fulham side that has struggled to defend early as a home underdog. 

Manager Marco Silva’s side has closed a home dog five times this season and has conceded a first-half goal four times. 

The lone success? At home to Manchester United, who sits 11th in post shot expected goals this season. 

Tottenham, who posted a first-half tally off 0.71 post shot xG in the reverse fixture against Fulham, is fifth. 

That means they’re much closer in quality to the likes of Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Brentford, all of which scored on Fulham in the first 45 minutes at Craven Cottage. 

Fulham have also conceded a first-half goal in three of their last five games as underdogs, so I expect Spurs’ attack could have success early. 

Back the visitors if this price reaches -135 or better. 

Tottenham Form 

March 10 at Aston Villa: 4-0, W

March 2 vs. Crystal Palace: 3-1, W

Feb. 17 vs. Wolves: 1-2, L

Feb. 10 vs. Brighton: 2-1, W

Feb. 3 at Everton: 2-2, D

Fulham Form

March 9 at Wolves: 1-2, L

March 2 vs. Brighton: 3-0, W

Feb. 24 at Manchester United: 2-1, W

Feb. 17 vs. Aston Villa: 1-2, L

Feb. 10 vs. Bournemouth: 3-1, W

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedTottenhamApr. 137:30 AMSt. James' Park
BrentfordSheffield UnitedApr. 1310:00 AMGTech Community Stadium
BurnleyBrightonApr. 1310:00 AMTurf Moor
Man CityLuton TownApr. 1310:00 AMEtihad Stadium
Nottingham ForestWolvesApr. 1310:00 AMThe City Ground
BournemouthManchester UnitedApr. 1312:30 PMVitality Stadium
LiverpoolCrystal PalaceApr. 149:00 AMAnfield
West Ham UnitedFulhamApr. 149:00 AMLondon Stadium
ArsenalAston VillaApr. 1411:30 PMEmirates Stadium
ChelseaEvertonApr. 153:00 PMStamford Bridge

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal DifferentialNotes
Arsenal FC22-5-47151---
Liverpool FC21-8-27142---
Manchester City21-7-37040---
Tottenham Hotspur18-6-76020---
Aston Villa FC18-6-86017---
Manchester United15-4-1249-1---
West Ham United13-9-1048-4---
Newcastle United14-5-124713---
Chelsea FC12-8-10443---
Brighton & Hove Albion11-10-10432---
Wolves12-6-1342-5---
Bournemouth11-8-1241-10---
Fulham FC11-6-1539-4---
Crystal Palace7-9-1530-18---
Brentford7-8-1729-13---
Everton9-8-1427-108 Point Deduction
Nottingham Forest7-8-1725-164 Point Deduction
Luton Town6-7-1925-20---
Burnley FC4-7-2119-35---
Sheffield United3-7-2116-52---

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal18-13.5818-7.53310-6.625
Aston Villa16-15-1.51610-6.6256-9-1.406
Bournemouth18-12-2.5949-6-2.5889-6.600
Brentford12-19-2.3946-10-1.3826-9-1.406
Brighton & Hove Albion15-16-1.4848-7.5337-9-1.441
Burnley13-19-1.4094-12-1.2659-7.563
Chelsea14-16.4679-6.6005-10.333
Crystal Palace15-17.4696-9.4009-8.529
Everton14-17.4527-8.4677-9.438
Fulham17-15-1.53010-5-1.6567-10.412
Liverpool16-16.5009-8.5297-8.467
Luton Town21-11-1.65212-4.7509-7-1.559
Manchester City14-18.4387-10.4127-8.467
Manchester United12-19-1.3916-9.4006-10-1.382
Newcastle United16-16.50011-6.6475-10.333
Nottingham Forest14-17-2.4555-11-1.3249-6-1.594
Sheffield United18-14.5639-7.5639-7.563
Tottenham Hotspur18-14.5639-7.5639-7.563
West Ham United17-16.51510-7.5887-9.438
Wolverhampton Wanderers16-15-1.5168-7.5339-7-1.559

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.