- Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against Wolves.
- Wolves shocked Manchester City with a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.
- Why bettors should expect a low corner output from the visitors.
Seeking their sixth consecutive Premier League win, Manchester City welcomes Wolverhampton Wanderers to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday.Â
Both teams enter Saturday’s standalone fixture in good form. City returns home for the first time since April 13, having blown out Brighton and Nottingham Forest 4-0 and 2-0, respectively.Â
As for Wolves, they earned all three points at home against Luton Town last weekend to end a six-match winless run.Â
Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Saturday’s fixture.Â
EPL Betting Odds – Man City vs. Wolves
- Man City Moneyline: -900
- Wolves Moneyline: +2200
- Draw Moneyline: +950
- Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (-125/-110)
EPL Prediction – Man City vs. Wolves
Wolves Under 2.5 Corners (-145)
When Wolves are required to face a title threat this season, they struggle to clear this number.Â
Although it’s only a four-match sample, they’ve stayed under this number three times against Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool.Â
The lone success came at home, where Wolves generally show more attacking interest and garner a higher corner account.Â
Through 18 home matches at Molineux this season, Wolves have accumulated 90 corners. On the road, they’ve amassed only 56 corner kicks.Â
Of the aforementioned four-match sample of Wolves matches against title contenders, they’ve played only once on the road.Â
That came back on December 2 against Arsenal, who faced a Wolves side with all their attackers healthy.Â
In that match, manager Gary O’Neill’s side notched zero corners and only 12 touches in Arsenal’s penalty box.Â
When Wolves last played Manchester City – at home – they didn’t attempt a single corner.Â
On the other side, this is a Manchester City team that doesn’t surrender many corners when they dominate the ball at home.
Sample nine games at the Etihad in which they’ve held more than 70% possessions and bettors will find they’ve held seven teams under this number.Â
Across all nine games, manager Pep Guardiola’s side has allowed only 1.67 corners per game, with only one team reaching four (Arsenal).Â
With Wolves likely to sit back and show little attacking interest, lay the price on them to finish under 2.5 corners.Â
Man City FormÂ
April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W
April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W
April 20 vs. Chelsea: 1-0, W (FA Cup)
April 17 vs. Real Madrid: 1-1, D (Champions League)
April 13 vs. Luton Town: 5-1, W
Wolves Form
April 27 vs. Luton Town: 2-1, W
April 24 vs. Bournemouth: 0-1, L
April 20 vs. Arsenal: 0-2, L
April 13 at Nottingham Forest: 2-2, D
April 6 vs. West Ham United: 1-2, L
Upcoming EPL Match Schedule
Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
Arsenal | Everton | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Emirates Stadium |
Man City | West Ham United | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Etihad Stadium |
Brentford | Newcastle United | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | GTech Community Stadium |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Manchester United | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Amex Stadium |
Burnley | Nottingham Forest | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Turf Moor |
Chelsea | Bournemouth | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Stamford Bridge |
Crystal Palace | Aston Villa | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Selhurst Park |
Liverpool | Wolves | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Anfield |
Luton Town | Fulham | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Kenilworth Road |
Sheffield United | Tottenham | May. 19 | 11:00 AM | Bramall Lane |
EPL Standings
Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential | Notes |
Manchester City | 27-7-3 | 88 | 60 | --- |
Arsenal FC | 27-5-5 | 86 | 61 | --- |
Liverpool FC | 23-10-4 | 79 | 43 | --- |
Aston Villa FC | 20-8-9 | 68 | 20 | --- |
Tottenham Hotspur | 19-6-12 | 63 | 10 | --- |
Chelsea FC | 17-9-11 | 60 | 13 | --- |
Newcastle United | 17-6-14 | 57 | 21 | --- |
Manchester United | 17-6-14 | 57 | -3 | --- |
West Ham United | 14-10-13 | 52 | -12 | --- |
Brighton & Hove Albion | 12-12-12 | 48 | -4 | --- |
Bournemouth | 13-9-15 | 48 | -12 | --- |
Crystal Palace | 12-10-15 | 46 | -6 | --- |
Wolves | 13-7-17 | 46 | -13 | --- |
Fulham FC | 12-8-17 | 44 | -8 | --- |
Everton | 13-9-15 | 40 | -10 | 8 Point Deduction |
Brentford | 10-9-18 | 39 | -7 | --- |
Nottingham Forest | 8-9-20 | 29 | -19 | 4 Point Deduction |
Luton Town | 6-8-23 | 26 | -31 | --- |
Burnley FC | 5-9-23 | 24 | -36 | --- |
Sheffield United | 3-7-27 | 16 | -66 | --- |
EPL ATS Records
Team | ATS Record | ATS Win Pct. | Home ATS Record | Home ATS Win Pct. | Road ATS Record | Road ATS Win Pct. |
Arsenal | 22-14-1 | .608 | 10-7-1 | .583 | 12-7 | .632 |
Aston Villa | 19-17-1 | .527 | 12-7 | .632 | 7-10-1 | .417 |
Bournemouth | 19-16-2 | .541 | 9-8-2 | .526 | 10-8 | .556 |
Brentford | 14-21-2 | .405 | 6-11-1 | .361 | 8-10-1 | .447 |
Brighton & Hove Albion | 15-20-2 | .432 | 8-9-1 | .472 | 7-11-1 | .395 |
Burnley | 18-19 | .486 | 5-13 | .278 | 13-6 | .684 |
Chelsea | 19-18 | .514 | 10-8 | .556 | 9-10 | .474 |
Crystal Palace | 20-17 | .541 | 9-9 | .500 | 11-8 | .579 |
Everton | 17-20 | .459 | 10-9 | .526 | 7-11 | .389 |
Fulham | 18-18-1 | .500 | 10-8-1 | .553 | 8-10 | .444 |
Liverpool | 18-19 | .486 | 10-8 | .556 | 8-11 | .421 |
Luton Town | 22-14-1 | .608 | 13-5 | .722 | 9-9-1 | .500 |
Manchester City | 19-18 | .514 | 8-10 | .444 | 11-8 | .579 |
Manchester United | 17-20 | .459 | 9-10 | .474 | 8-10 | .444 |
Newcastle United | 18-19 | .486 | 12-7 | .632 | 6-12 | .333 |
Nottingham Forest | 15-20-2 | .432 | 5-13-1 | .289 | 10-7-1 | .583 |
Sheffield United | 19-18 | .514 | 9-9 | .500 | 10-9 | .526 |
Tottenham Hotspur | 18-19 | .486 | 9-10 | .474 | 9-9 | .500 |
West Ham United | 19-18 | .514 | 12-7 | .632 | 7-11 | .389 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | 18-19 | .486 | 9-10 | .474 | 9-9 | .500 |
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