Man City vs. Wolves Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

min read
Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, March 3, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion May 03, 2024, 2:59 PM
  • Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against Wolves.
  • Wolves shocked Manchester City with a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.
  • Why bettors should expect a low corner output from the visitors.

Seeking their sixth consecutive Premier League win, Manchester City welcomes Wolverhampton Wanderers to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday. 

Both teams enter Saturday’s standalone fixture in good form. City returns home for the first time since April 13, having blown out Brighton and Nottingham Forest 4-0 and 2-0, respectively. 

As for Wolves, they earned all three points at home against Luton Town last weekend to end a six-match winless run. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Saturday’s fixture. 

EPL Betting Odds – Man City vs. Wolves

  • Man City Moneyline: -900
  • Wolves Moneyline: +2200
  • Draw Moneyline: +950
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (-125/-110)

EPL Prediction – Man City vs. Wolves

Wolves Under 2.5 Corners (-145)

When Wolves are required to face a title threat this season, they struggle to clear this number. 

Although it’s only a four-match sample, they’ve stayed under this number three times against Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool. 

The lone success came at home, where Wolves generally show more attacking interest and garner a higher corner account. 

Through 18 home matches at Molineux this season, Wolves have accumulated 90 corners. On the road, they’ve amassed only 56 corner kicks. 

Of the aforementioned four-match sample of Wolves matches against title contenders, they’ve played only once on the road. 

That came back on December 2 against Arsenal, who faced a Wolves side with all their attackers healthy. 

In that match, manager Gary O’Neill’s side notched zero corners and only 12 touches in Arsenal’s penalty box. 

When Wolves last played Manchester City – at home – they didn’t attempt a single corner. 

On the other side, this is a Manchester City team that doesn’t surrender many corners when they dominate the ball at home.

Sample nine games at the Etihad in which they’ve held more than 70% possessions and bettors will find they’ve held seven teams under this number. 

Across all nine games, manager Pep Guardiola’s side has allowed only 1.67 corners per game, with only one team reaching four (Arsenal). 

With Wolves likely to sit back and show little attacking interest, lay the price on them to finish under 2.5 corners. 

Man City Form 

April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W

April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W

April 20 vs. Chelsea: 1-0, W (FA Cup)

April 17 vs. Real Madrid: 1-1, D (Champions League)

April 13 vs. Luton Town: 5-1, W

Wolves Form

April 27 vs. Luton Town: 2-1, W

April 24 vs. Bournemouth: 0-1, L

April 20 vs. Arsenal: 0-2, L

April 13 at Nottingham Forest: 2-2, D

April 6 vs. West Ham United: 1-2, L

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
ArsenalEvertonMay. 1911:00 AMEmirates Stadium
Man CityWest Ham UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMEtihad Stadium
BrentfordNewcastle UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMGTech Community Stadium
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMAmex Stadium
BurnleyNottingham ForestMay. 1911:00 AMTurf Moor
ChelseaBournemouthMay. 1911:00 AMStamford Bridge
Crystal PalaceAston VillaMay. 1911:00 AMSelhurst Park
LiverpoolWolvesMay. 1911:00 AMAnfield
Luton TownFulhamMay. 1911:00 AMKenilworth Road
Sheffield UnitedTottenhamMay. 1911:00 AMBramall Lane

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal DifferentialNotes
Manchester City27-7-38860---
Arsenal FC27-5-58661---
Liverpool FC23-10-47943---
Aston Villa FC20-8-96820---
Tottenham Hotspur19-6-126310---
Chelsea FC17-9-116013---
Newcastle United17-6-145721---
Manchester United17-6-1457-3---
West Ham United14-10-1352-12---
Brighton & Hove Albion12-12-1248-4---
Crystal Palace12-10-1546-6---
Fulham FC12-8-1744-8---
Everton13-9-1540-108 Point Deduction
Nottingham Forest8-9-2029-194 Point Deduction
Luton Town6-8-2326-31---
Burnley FC5-9-2324-36---
Sheffield United3-7-2716-66---

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Aston Villa19-17-1.52712-7.6327-10-1.417
Brighton & Hove Albion15-20-2.4328-9-1.4727-11-1.395
Crystal Palace20-17.5419-9.50011-8.579
Luton Town22-14-1.60813-5.7229-9-1.500
Manchester City19-18.5148-10.44411-8.579
Manchester United17-20.4599-10.4748-10.444
Newcastle United18-19.48612-7.6326-12.333
Nottingham Forest15-20-2.4325-13-1.28910-7-1.583
Sheffield United19-18.5149-9.50010-9.526
Tottenham Hotspur18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500
West Ham United19-18.51412-7.6327-11.389
Wolverhampton Wanderers18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.