Chelsea vs. Sheffield United Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

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Chelsea's Mykhailo Mudryk, second left, celebrates with teammates after scoring his side's opening goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Fulham and Chelsea at Craven Cottage in London, Monday, Oct. 2, 2023.
(Kin Cheung/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Apr 04, 2024, 5:37 PM
  • Chelsea is a -1.5-goal favorite against Sheffield United.
  • Chelsea earned a 2-0 win at home in the previous head-to-head meeting.
  • Bettors should play this Same Game Parlay for Sunday’s match.

On Sunday at Bramall Lane, relegation-threatened Sheffield United welcome Chelsea for a Premier League clash. 

When these sides met earlier this season, it was pure domination from Chelsea. Although they only won 2-0, they won the expected goals battle 3.1 to 0.4. 

Sheffield fought admirably at Anfield on Thursday afternoon, but ultimately lost the match 3-1. 

As for Chelsea, they scored twice in the final minute to win 4-3 at home over Manchester United. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Sunday’s match. 

EPL Betting Odds – Chelsea vs. Sheffield United

  • Chelsea Moneyline: -250
  • Sheffield United Moneyline: +575
  • Draw Moneyline: +400
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+100/-140)

EPL Prediction – Chelsea vs. Sheffield United

Same Game Parlay: Both Teams to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (-135)

Although I lean to over 3.5 goals (+100), this feels a safer option given past trends. 

The three promoted teams this season – Burnley, Luton Town and Sheffield United – have struggled to keep out the best offenses at home. 

To date, the trio have played 19 combined games against teams averaging north of 1.7 goals per game. 

Only five of those matches have stayed under 2.5 goals, and the visiting team has failed to score two or more goals only four times. 

Just in six Sheffield United home matches against such teams, they’ve conceded at least two goals all six times with three others clearing 3.5 goals. 

Although one of those matches saw an early Sheffield United red card, I still don’t know how they keep out Chelsea. 

As referenced earlier, the Blues created 3.1 expected goals at home against Sheffield. 

All that said, Chelsea’s road defense leaves a lot to be desired, and Sheffield’s attack is improving. 

The Blues have kept a clean sheet in only two road matches this season, and Sheffield have generated at least one expected goal in two straight. 

Plus, although it’s a limited sample, the acquisition of Ben Brererton Diaz from Villarreal has paid off. 

In five games with the striker, Sheffield have scored at least one goal all but once and generated 1.52 non-penalty xG per 90 minutes, per 

Diaz wasn’t in Sheffield the last time these teams played, so expect a different offensive output than the 0.4 xG they put up on Chelsea. 

For those reasons, expect a high-scoring contest on Sunday. Bet this parlay to -140. 

Chelsea Form 

April 4 vs. Manchester United: 4-3, W

March 30 vs. Burnley: 2-2, D

March 17 vs. Leicester City: 4-2, W (FA Cup)

March 11 vs. Newcastle United: 3-2, W

March 2 at Brentford: 2-2, D

Sheffield United Form

April 4 at Liverpool: 1-3, L

March 30 vs. Fulham: 3-3, D

March 9 at Bournemouth: 2-2, D

March 4 vs. Arsenal: 0-6, L

Feb. 25 at Wolves: 0-1, L

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
ArsenalEvertonMay. 1911:00 AMEmirates Stadium
Man CityWest Ham UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMEtihad Stadium
BrentfordNewcastle UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMGTech Community Stadium
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMAmex Stadium
BurnleyNottingham ForestMay. 1911:00 AMTurf Moor
ChelseaBournemouthMay. 1911:00 AMStamford Bridge
Crystal PalaceAston VillaMay. 1911:00 AMSelhurst Park
LiverpoolWolvesMay. 1911:00 AMAnfield
Luton TownFulhamMay. 1911:00 AMKenilworth Road
Sheffield UnitedTottenhamMay. 1911:00 AMBramall Lane

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal DifferentialNotes
Manchester City27-7-38860---
Arsenal FC27-5-58661---
Liverpool FC23-10-47943---
Aston Villa FC20-8-96820---
Tottenham Hotspur19-6-126310---
Chelsea FC17-9-116013---
Newcastle United17-6-145721---
Manchester United17-6-1457-3---
West Ham United14-10-1352-12---
Brighton & Hove Albion12-12-1248-4---
Crystal Palace12-10-1546-6---
Fulham FC12-8-1744-8---
Everton13-9-1540-108 Point Deduction
Nottingham Forest8-9-2029-194 Point Deduction
Luton Town6-8-2326-31---
Burnley FC5-9-2324-36---
Sheffield United3-7-2716-66---

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Aston Villa19-17-1.52712-7.6327-10-1.417
Brighton & Hove Albion15-20-2.4328-9-1.4727-11-1.395
Crystal Palace20-17.5419-9.50011-8.579
Luton Town22-14-1.60813-5.7229-9-1.500
Manchester City19-18.5148-10.44411-8.579
Manchester United17-20.4599-10.4748-10.444
Newcastle United18-19.48612-7.6326-12.333
Nottingham Forest15-20-2.4325-13-1.28910-7-1.583
Sheffield United19-18.5149-9.50010-9.526
Tottenham Hotspur18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500
West Ham United19-18.51412-7.6327-11.389
Wolverhampton Wanderers18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.