- Alabama is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
- Alabama vs. Wisconsin Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Alabama vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -15.5 -110 | 50.5 -105 | -750 |
| Wisconsin | +15.5 -110 | 50.5 -115 | +525 |
Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 86.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Alabama vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 82.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Wisconsin and key player performances this season.
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Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 1% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.35 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jackson Acker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Bryson Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Braedyn Locke has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Alabama is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.2% ROI
- Alabama is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Alabama is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.23% ROI
- Wisconsin is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .496
Alabama is 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .496
Alabama is 10-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .494
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Wisconsin is winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .353
Wisconsin is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .497
Wisconsin is 5-2 (.714) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .524
Wisconsin is 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .496
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 5.4 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin have just 203.0 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 103.0 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs have just 22.0 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 103.0 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama has gained 465 yards on 29 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 17th-best among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Alabama has 2.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-best among Big Ten defenses.
Alabama’s offense has averaged 2.5 passing TDs per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 0.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-best among Big Ten defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (725 yards/31 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama WRs have averaged 30.4 yards per reception (578 yards/19 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.3
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (725 yards/31 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.1
Alabama WRs have averaged 30.4 yards per reception (578 yards/19 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 16.2
Alabama WRs have averaged 30.4 yards per reception (578 yards/19 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.6 receptions (316 Rec/14 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (30 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Wisconsin WRs have averaged a touchdown every 20.3 receptions (223 Rec/11 TDs) since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.2
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (30 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1
Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.6 receptions (316 Rec/14 TDs) since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.1
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (104 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.0
Alabama opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (104 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Alabama has allowed no passing TDs (76 pass attempts) this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 52.7
Alabama has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Alabama has no interceptions (104 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 38.5
Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 91 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5
Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 91 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9
Wisconsin has 1 interceptions and not allowed a passing TD this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 0.7
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 91 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 16.0
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