- Arizona St is a -9 point favorite vs. Arizona
- Arizona State vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Arizona State Sun Devils (9-2) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (4-7) on Nov. 30 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).
The Arizona State vs. Arizona Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Arizona State vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona State | -9 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -300 |
| Arizona | +9 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +260 |
Arizona State vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 72.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona State vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 82.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 32% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordyn Tyson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Skattebo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Sam Leavitt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cam Skattebo has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xavier Guillory has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Montana Lemonious-Craig has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 9-2 against the spread this college football season (+6.8 Units / 56.43% ROI).
- Arizona State is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 59.44% ROI
- Arizona State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Arizona State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 2-9 against the spread this college football season (-8 Units / -65.31% ROI).
- Arizona is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -5.56% ROI
- Arizona is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Arizona is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Arizona State is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
Arizona State is 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .579
Arizona State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .641
Arizona State is 2-5 (.286) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Arizona is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471
Arizona is 9-5 (.643) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .526
Arizona is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Arizona is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458
Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Arizona
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 406 attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has 385 receptions in 24 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona has 578 receptions in 24 games (24.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs has 6 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 2nd-fewest among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 16 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 3rd-fewest among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State’s RBs has 2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.9 receptions (31 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona State WRs averaged 40.0 yards per reception (120 yards/3 catches) on 1st down last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Arizona State RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona State WRs averaged 40.0 yards per reception (120 yards/3 catches) on 1st down last week– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.8
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.9 receptions (31 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 406 attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs has 385 receptions in 24 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona has 578 receptions in 24 games (24.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona TEs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.5
Arizona’s TEs has gained 444 yards on 35 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Arizona State has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS
Arizona State has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most in FBS
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 35 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
Arizona allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 35 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 75 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
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