Auburn vs Mississippi Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:49 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on ESPN

The Auburn Tigers (3-4) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (7-0) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Oxford.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Auburn vs. Mississippi is total points.

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Auburn vs. Mississippi Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Auburn
Mississippi

Auburn vs Mississippi Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 75.0% confidence.

Auburn vs Mississippi Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 69.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Mississippi, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Auburn Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Tank Bigsby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Shedrick Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Mississippi Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)

Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 46% ROI)

Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.77 Units / 25% ROI)

Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Mississippi Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)

Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Auburn is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Auburn is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Auburn is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi

Auburn is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .427

Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

#9 Ole Miss is 8-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

#9 Ole Miss is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#9 Ole Miss is 9-1 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410

#9 Ole Miss is 10-2 (.625) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .390

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Mississippi

Ole Miss have 260.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 233.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

Ole Miss’s WRs have 207.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 233.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

Ole Miss’s TEs has 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for second-best among P5 defenses.

Auburn has gained 1,178 yards on 80 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — tied for third-best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 677 yards on 40 receptions (16.9 YPR) this season — best among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,760 yards on 197 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn WRs have averaged 20.5 yards per reception (123 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.1

Auburn TEs have been targeted 5 times in short yardage situations this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

#9 Ole Miss WRs have averaged 20.9 yards per reception (355 yards/17 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

#9 Ole Miss TEs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#9 Ole Miss RBs have averaged 137.5 rushing yards per game (550/4) in the 1st half this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 63.1

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has no interceptions (125 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.4

Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 41 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Auburn do not has an interception in 4 games this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.89

Auburn do not has an interception in 4 games this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 0.87

Auburn has intercepted 9 of 574 attempts (63.8 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.8

Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

#9 Ole Miss has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.3 sacks per game since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.3

#9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.8 sacks per game this season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.3

#9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.3 sacks per game since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 2.2

#9 Ole Miss has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,121 yards / 229 touches) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.3

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