Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:42 PM
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The Baylor Bears (5-3) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-4) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Lubbock.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Baylor vs. Texas Tech is total points.

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Baylor vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor
Texas Tech

Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 51.0% confidence.

Baylor vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Baylor Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Baylor has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Baylor is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Baylor is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Baylor is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas Tech is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas Tech is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas Tech is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Baylor is 12-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373

Baylor is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .559

Baylor is 13-2 (.684) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Baylor is 15-2 (.789) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .490

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor

Texas Tech is 2-12 (.105) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

Texas Tech is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Texas Tech is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Texas Tech is 1-9 (.071) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358

Matchup Notes for Baylor vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech has gained 5,687 yards on 445 receptions (12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech has gained 5,687 yards on 445 receptions (12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has 19 receptions in 7 games (just 2.7 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor has gained 4,627 yards on 372 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs has gained 1,153 yards on 72 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — second-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs has gained 3,116 yards on 218 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends

Baylor has gained 4,627 yards on 372 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs has gained 1,153 yards on 72 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — second-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs has gained 3,116 yards on 218 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor’s TEs has 83 receptions in 21 games (4.0 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

Baylor TEs have been targeted 10 times in short yardage situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech WRs have averaged 24.6 receptions per game (123/5) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.7

Texas Tech has gained 5,687 yards on 445 receptions (12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech has gained 5,687 yards on 445 receptions (12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has 19 receptions in 7 games (just 2.7 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has 56 receptions in 19 games (just 2.9 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

Baylor has sacked opposing QBs just once on 58 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

Baylor has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 32 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Baylor has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 46 carries (7%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 17%

Baylor has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (6/173) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Baylor has allowed first downs on 11% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 30%

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech opponents has averaged 13.0 Passing Attempts per TD (26 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.4

Texas Tech has intercepted one of 150 attempts this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 37.0

Texas Tech has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.1

Texas Tech has intercepted one of 150 attempts this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.6

Texas Tech has allowed 20.6 yards per completion (412 yards/20 completions) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.