Baylor vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 13, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Baylor Bears (3-3) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (2-4) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Morgantown.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Baylor vs. W.Virginia is total points.

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Baylor vs. W.Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor
W.Virginia

Baylor vs W.Virginia Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 54% confidence.

Baylor vs W.Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 52% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and W.Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Baylor Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.60 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Blake Shapen has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • R.J. Sneed II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • R.J. Sneed II has hit the Receptions Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Gerry Bohanon has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jarret Doege has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Best W.Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for W.Virginia players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam James has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • JT Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
    • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
    • Baylor have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
    • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)
    • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
    • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
    • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.49 Units / 25% ROI)
    • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.14 Units / 92% ROI)
    • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)
    • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.31 Units / 22% ROI)
    • West Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)

    Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Baylor has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Baylor is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Baylor is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Baylor is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    W.Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    W.Virginia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • W.Virginia is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • W.Virginia is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • W.Virginia is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. W.Virginia

    Baylor is 7-2 (.778) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

    Baylor is 10-2 (.625) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403

    Baylor is 9-2 (.692) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .368

    Baylor is 8-2 (.571) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

    W.Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor

    West Virginia is winless (0-8) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

    West Virginia is 6-2 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

    West Virginia is 10-2 (.667) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .470

    Matchup Notes for Baylor vs. W.Virginia

    West Virginia have 253.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 223.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.

    West Virginia’s WRs have 245.2 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 208.0 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

    West Virginia’s TEs has been targeted 20 times this season — tied for fourth-most among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed 832 receiving yards this season — fewest among Big 12 defenses.

    Baylor’s WRs has gained 663 yards on 41 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

    Baylor’s TEs has 24 receptions in 4 games (6.0 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Baylor’s TEs has 69 receptions in 18 games (3.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 17.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends

    Baylor RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Baylor TEs have been targeted 8 times in short yardage situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Baylor’s WRs has gained 663 yards on 41 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

    Baylor’s TEs has 24 receptions in 4 games (6.0 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Baylor’s TEs has 69 receptions in 18 games (3.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 17.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    W.Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

    West Virginia Skill Players have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

    West Virginia WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

    West Virginia WRs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

    West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 29 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.4

    West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 29 receptions since last season– tied for 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 8.7

    Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

    Baylor has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 95 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

    Baylor has sacked opposing QBs just once on 57 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

    Baylor has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 46 carries (7%) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 17%

    Baylor has averaged 0.25 interceptions per game (1/4) this season– tied for 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.89

    Baylor has allowed 102.7 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 149.3

    West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

    West Virginia has allowed first downs on 67% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

    West Virginia has allowed 20 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for fewest among Power 5 Teams

    West Virginia has allowed 6 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

    West Virginia has allowed 20 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for 4th fewest in FBS

    West Virginia has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (1,233 yards/82 completions) this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.8


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.