- Boise St is a -13.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
- Boise State vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Boise State Broncos (8-1) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (6-3) on Nov. 16 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Boise State vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Boise State vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Boise State | -13.5 -110 | 61.5 -110 | -550 |
| San Jose State | +13.5 -110 | 61.5 -110 | +400 |
Boise State vs San Jose State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 83.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Boise State vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on San Jose St vs Boise St and all games with BetMGM
Boise State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
San Jose State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Matt Lauter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Maddux Madsen has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Maddux Madsen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise St is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 38.19% ROI).
- Boise State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 4.78% ROI
- Boise State is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Boise State is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.57% ROI).
- San Jose State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 14.11% ROI
- San Jose State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- San Jose State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Boise State is 14-6 (.700) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Boise State is 11-4 (.733) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Boise State is 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Boise State is 16-7 (.696) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .525
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State
San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565
San Jose State is 10-8 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379
San Jose State is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622
San Jose State is 8-5 (.615) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .469
Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. San Jose State
San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 2,998 passing yards in 9 games (333.1 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 247.1 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 2,956 passing yards in 9 games (328.4 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed 247.1 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs has gained 73 yards on 7 receptions (10.4 YPR) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 10.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 2,207 yards on 306 carries (7.2 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense have allowed just 4.2 YPC to RBs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 2,207 yards on 306 carries (7.2 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s QBs has rushed for 168 yards on 30 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-7th-best among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends
Boise State RBs have averaged 245.2 rushing yards per game (2,207/9) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.3
Boise State RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (2,207 yards/306 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Boise State RBs have rushed for 660 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Boise State RBs have rushed for 13 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Boise State TEs have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (159 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 2,998 passing yards in 9 games (333.1 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 247.1 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 2,956 passing yards in 9 games (328.4 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed 247.1 passing yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,177 yards / 150 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
San Jose State QBs had 9 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-most among FBS Teams
San Jose State Skill Players had 9 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (41/284) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (41/284) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Boise State has sacked opponents 41 times this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Boise State has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (77/725) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
San Jose State has 16 interceptions this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 136 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
San Jose State has averaged 1.78 interceptions per game (16/9) this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85
San Jose State has 16 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
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