- Arizona St is a -3 point favorite vs. Central Florida
- UCF vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The UCF Knights (4-5) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (6-2) on Nov. 9 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The UCF vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
Bet now on Arizona St vs Central Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
UCF vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCF | +3 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +130 |
| Arizona State | -3 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -160 |
UCF vs Arizona State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCF vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Arizona St vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- UCF have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (+1.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Randy Pittman Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trent Whittemore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordyn Tyson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Skattebo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Sam Leavitt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cam Skattebo has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Melquan Stovall has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 7.65% ROI).
- UCF is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -22.83% ROI
- UCF is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.65 Units / 26.63% ROI
- UCF is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.55% ROI
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI).
- Arizona State is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 41.98% ROI
- Arizona State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arizona State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
UCF is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
UCF is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
UCF is 4-8 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .449
UCF is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .473
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
Arizona State is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .456
Arizona State is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Arizona State is 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .590
Arizona State was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Matchup Notes for UCF vs. Arizona State
Arizona State’s WRs has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State has gained 1,638 yards on 123 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has 222 receptions in 22 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
UCF has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF’s WRs has 222 receptions in 22 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
UCF has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCF WRs have caught just 2 of 12 passes (17% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 58%
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State’s WRs has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3
UCF tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 25 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 13%.
UCF has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (230 yards / 45 touches) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
UCF has forced 10 fumbles on 810 carries (81.0 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.8
UCF allowed just 0.2 Yards per Carry (5 yards/25 carries) last week– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.4
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5
Arizona State has forced 8 fumbles on 638 carries (79.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.8
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