Charlotte vs Middle Tenn State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Middle Tenn State (4-5) are -11 point favorites vs Charlotte (2-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Charlotte 49ers (3-9) visit Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-5) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Murfreesboro.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Charlotte vs. Middle Tenn State is total points.

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Charlotte vs. Middle Tenn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Charlotte
Middle Tenn State

Charlotte vs Middle Tenn State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this game with 65.0% confidence.

Charlotte vs Middle Tenn State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Charlotte and Middle Tenn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Charlotte is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -49.37% ROI
  • Charlotte is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Charlotte is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Middle Tenn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tenn State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Middle Tenn State is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 1.37% ROI
  • Middle Tenn State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Middle Tenn State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Middle Tenn State: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

Middle Tennessee is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .437

Middle Tennessee is winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .353

Matchup Notes for Charlotte vs. Middle Tenn State

Charlotte’s defense has allowed 275.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s defense has allowed 275.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte WRs have 19 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

Charlotte RBs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Charlotte WRs have 25 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Charlotte RBs have picked up first downs on 11 receptions on 1st down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Charlotte WRs have caught 25 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 5th most among FBS Teams

Middle Tenn State Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (390 yards/119 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Middle Tennessee RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (501 yards / 132 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Charlotte’s defense has allowed 275.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee WRs have been targeted 31.1 times per game (653/21) since last season– 3rd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

Middle Tennessee Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (1,862 yards/202 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Charlotte 49ers Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has allowed a passer rating of 188.7 (231.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 135.4

Charlotte has allowed a passer rating of 177.1 (554.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 133.0

Charlotte has allowed a passer rating of 188.7 (231.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 131.1

Charlotte has allowed a passer rating of 177.1 (554.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.1

Charlotte has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 93 of 554 attempts (17%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee has averaged 1.29 interceptions per game (27/21) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.80

Middle Tennessee defense has allowed 21 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd fewest among Non-Power 5 Teams

Middle Tennessee defense has allowed 21 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd fewest in FBS

Middle Tennessee has 27 interceptions since last season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Middle Tennessee has allowed a passer rating of just 89.4 in close and late situations (112.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.