East Carolina vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 3:10 PM
  • Cincinnati U (7-2) are -4.5 point favorites vs East Carolina (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The East Carolina Pirates (6-5) visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (9-2) on Nov. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Cincinnati.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for East Carolina vs. Cincinnati U is total points.

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East Carolina vs. Cincinnati U Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina
Cincinnati U

East Carolina vs Cincinnati U Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 60.2% confidence.

East Carolina vs Cincinnati U Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Cincinnati U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • East Carolina is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -14.48% ROI
  • East Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Cincinnati U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Cincinnati U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Cincinnati U is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.67% ROI
  • Cincinnati U is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Cincinnati U is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Cincinnati U: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

#21 Cincinnati is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 4th-best in FBS; Average: .420

#21 Cincinnati is 11-2 (.733) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .500

#21 Cincinnati is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .552

#21 Cincinnati is 8-2 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 11th-best in FBS; Average: .437

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina RBs have averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (516 yards/64 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

East Carolina RBs have averaged 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (624 yards / 79 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

East Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

East Carolina WRs have 652 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Skill Players have 58 receptions on 3rd down this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Cincinnati U Offensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati RBs have averaged 7.8 Yards per Carry (343 yards/44 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Cincinnati RBs have averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,133 yards / 289 touches) on 1st down since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Cincinnati TEs have 25 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Cincinnati RBs have averaged 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (151 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Cincinnati TEs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 10% of PATs since last season– 3rd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

East Carolina has allowed first downs on 10% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22%

East Carolina has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 6 of 18 carries (33%) on 3rd and long this season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19%

East Carolina has intercepted 5 of 65 attempts (13.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 36.9

East Carolina has allowed 296.6 Passing Yards per game (2,373/8) this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 242.4

Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (27/199) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (27/199) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 7%

Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (45 completions/104 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

Cincinnati has allowed a passer rating of just 109.5 (607.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.1

Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (66/607) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.