Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tenn State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • Florida Atlantic (5-5) are -6 point favorites vs Middle Tenn State (5-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Florida Atlantic Owls (5-6) visit Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Murfreesboro.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tenn State is total points.

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Florida Atlantic vs. Middle Tenn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida Atlantic
Middle Tenn State

Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tenn State Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this game with 55.1% confidence.

Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tenn State Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and Middle Tenn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida Atlantic is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -2.64% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Middle Tenn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tenn State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Middle Tenn State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 10.09% ROI
  • Middle Tenn State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Middle Tenn State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tenn State

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-11) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .289

Middle Tenn State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Middle Tennessee is winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .357

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic QBs have fumbled 6 times in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic RBs have averaged 12.9 yards per target (347 yards/27 targets) on 1st down since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.3

Florida Atlantic RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (113 yards/34 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Florida Atlantic RBs have averaged 117.8 rushing yards per game (942/8) in the 1st half this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 63.7

Florida Atlantic RBs have averaged 12.0 yards per reception (753 yards/63 catches) since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.3

Middle Tenn State Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged 20.4 receptions per game (448/22) since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Middle Tennessee TEs have no touchdowns on 1 receptions since last season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.0

Middle Tennessee RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (436 yards/126 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged just 9.8 yards per reception (1,761 yards/179 catches) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged just 10.7 yards per reception (4,773 yards/448 catches) since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 43 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Florida Atlantic has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 43 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Florida Atlantic has allowed first downs on 17% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 28%

Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (18 completions/25 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (44 completions/100 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 48 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Middle Tennessee has allowed 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (175 yards / 63 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Middle Tennessee has allowed a passer rating of just 89.8 in close and late situations (128.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.0

Middle Tennessee has 28 interceptions since last season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Middle Tennessee has averaged 1.27 interceptions per game (28/22) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.81


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.