- Notre Dame is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Florida St
- Florida State vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
The Florida State Seminoles (1-8) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-1) on Nov. 9 in Notre Dame, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-110).
The Florida State vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Florida State vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida State | +25.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +1550 |
| Notre Dame | -25.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -5000 |
Florida State vs Notre Dame Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida State vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 75.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.65 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida State Player Prop Bets Today
- Lawrance Toafili has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Malik Benson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ja’Khi Douglas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Roydell Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hykeem Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Notre Dame Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jaden Greathouse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mitchell Evans has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kris Mitchell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida St is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.18% ROI).
- Florida State is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -88.84% ROI
- Florida State is 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI
- Florida State is 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 42.46% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -72.75 Units / -43.48% ROI
- Notre Dame is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Notre Dame is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Florida State is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Florida State is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .671
Florida State is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .675
Florida State is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .752
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State
Notre Dame is 16-1 (.941) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .652
Notre Dame is 16-1 (.941) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .752
Notre Dame is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .538
Notre Dame is 14-3 (.824) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .638
Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Notre Dame
Notre Dame’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 8 games (just 190.5 YPG) this season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 201.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 567 attempts since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has 226 receptions in 23 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 14.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has 226 receptions in 23 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 9.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida State’s WRs has 226 receptions in 23 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 14.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has 226 receptions in 23 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 9.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State has 399 receptions in 23 games (just 17.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 14.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among ACC WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 1,524 passing yards in 8 games (just 190.5 YPG) this season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 201.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 567 attempts since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida State has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (11 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.5
Florida State has intercepted 2 of 240 attempts (120.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2
Florida State has intercepted 2 of 240 attempts (120.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 33.9
Florida State allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (201 completions/415 attempts) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Florida State allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (201 completions/415 attempts) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (303 completions/589 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (108 completions/218 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame has allowed opponents to catch just 303 of 582 passes (52% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame opponents averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (371 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Notre Dame opponents has averaged 42.1 Passing Attempts per TD (589 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.5
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