Florida State vs Syracuse Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Florida State (6-3) are -7 point favorites vs Syracuse (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The Florida State Seminoles (8-3) visit JMA Wireless Dome to take on the Syracuse Orange (6-5) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Syracuse.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Florida State vs. Syracuse is total points.

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Florida State vs. Syracuse Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State
Syracuse

Florida State vs Syracuse Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 60.6% confidence.

Florida State vs Syracuse Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida State and Syracuse, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Florida State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Mycah Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Johnny Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ontaria Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+8.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Syracuse have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.61 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+6.16 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Syracuse have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 3.82% ROI
  • Florida State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Florida State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Syracuse is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 8.96% ROI
  • Syracuse is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Syracuse is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Florida State is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

Florida State is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Florida State is 3-13 (.188) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Florida State is 3-10 (.231) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

#22 Syracuse is 1-13 (.071) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

#14 Syracuse is 1-4 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

#22 Syracuse is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

#22 Syracuse is 2-11 (.133) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Syracuse

Syracuse’s TEs has 4 receptions in 6 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.7 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s TEs has 10 receptions in 14 games (just 0.7 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among P5 TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 18.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse has 303 receptions in 21 games (just 14.4 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 18.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

#25 Florida State QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#25 Florida State WRs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (182 yards/8 catches) in close and late situations this season– tied for 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

#25 Florida State Skill Players have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (272 yards/14 catches) in close and late situations this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

#25 Florida State WRs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (182 yards/8 catches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

#25 Florida State Skill Players have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (272 yards/14 catches) in close and late situations this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse TEs have no touchdowns on 10 receptions since last season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.0

Syracuse TEs have no touchdowns on 10 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.6

Syracuse’s TEs has 4 receptions in 6 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.7 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s TEs has 10 receptions in 14 games (just 0.7 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among P5 TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 18.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse QBs have 8 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends

#25 Florida State has allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

#25 Florida State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (21/198) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#25 Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (25 completions/35 attempts) in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

#25 Florida State has allowed first downs on 4% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%

#25 Florida State has allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 30%

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (57/576) since last season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Syracuse has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 58 touches) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Syracuse has allowed 0.6 touchdowns per interception (6 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Syracuse has allowed 0.6 touchdowns per interception (6 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 1.8

Syracuse has allowed 6 touchdowns on 150 completions (25.0 Completions Per TD) this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.