Kansas vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:05 AM
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The Kansas Jayhawks (5-3) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (5-3) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Waco.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kansas vs. Baylor is total points.

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Kansas vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas
Baylor

Kansas vs Baylor Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 61.8% confidence.

Kansas vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 70.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • R.J. Sneed II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • R.J. Sneed II has hit the Receptions Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gerry Bohanon has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.60 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Blake Shapen has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+17.05 Units / 284% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Kansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Kansas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Kansas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Kansas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Baylor has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Baylor is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Baylor is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Baylor is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor

    #19 Kansas is winless (0-11) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

    #19 Kansas is 3-17 (.120) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

    #19 Kansas is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .437

    #19 Kansas is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .445

    Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

    Baylor is 9-2 (.692) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .368

    Baylor is 10-2 (.625) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403

    Baylor is 7-2 (.778) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

    Baylor is 8-2 (.571) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

    Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Baylor

    Baylor’s WRs has 7 receiving touchdowns this season — fourth-fewest among Big 12 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns this season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

    Baylor’s TEs has been targeted 107 times since the 2021 season — third-most among Big 12 TEs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 4,568 receiving yards since the 2021 season — third-most among Big 12 defenses.

    Baylor has 32 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-most among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 38 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for most among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas has gained 1,219 yards on 87 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas’s WRs has gained 921 yards on 61 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — second-best among Big 12 WRs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas has 14 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-most among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

    #19 Kansas RBs have averaged 9.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (94 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.1

    #19 Kansas TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Kansas has gained 1,219 yards on 87 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    #19 Kansas Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

    #19 Kansas RBs have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends

    Baylor TEs have been targeted 10 times in short yardage situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Baylor RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

    Baylor TEs have been targeted 25 times in short yardage situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Baylor Skill Players have averaged 17.0 yards per reception (814 yards/48 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

    Baylor Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.5 receptions (11 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

    Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    #19 Kansas has no interceptions (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.5

    #19 Kansas has no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.3

    #19 Kansas has allowed 52 rushing TDs since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    #19 Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 79 of 733 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

    #19 Kansas has allowed 40 rushing TDs in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

    Baylor has sacked opposing QBs just once on 58 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.3

    Baylor has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (6/173) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    Baylor has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 32 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

    Baylor has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 46 carries (7%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 17%

    Baylor has averaged a sack every 28.8 pass attempts (173 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.0


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.