Alabama vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Sugar Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 30, 2022, 8:55 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Alabama Crimson Tide (10-4) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (11-2) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in New Orleans.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kansas State vs. Alabama Over/Under is total points.

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Kansas State vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State
Alabama

Kansas State vs Alabama Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 60.2% confidence.

Kansas State vs Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.55 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Malik Knowles has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

#5 Alabama is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .384

#5 Alabama is 15-1 (.882) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .555

#5 Alabama is 9-2 (.818) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .570

#5 Alabama is 17-3 (.773) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .543

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

#9 Kansas State is 11-2 (.688) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .504

#9 Kansas State is 7-2 (.700) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .525

#9 Kansas State is 6-2 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

#9 Kansas State is 12-4 (.632) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Alabama

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 Alabama QBs have 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#6 Alabama QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– most among FBS Teams

#6 Alabama Skill Players have 2,362 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#6 Alabama Skill Players have 2,362 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#6 Alabama RBs have been targeted 17 times in short yardage situations since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

#13 Kansas State RBs have been targeted 15 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

#13 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 16.6 yards per reception (849 yards/51 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

#13 Kansas State RBs have been targeted 26 times in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#13 Kansas State RBs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

#13 Kansas State RBs have averaged 45.4 receiving yards per game (499/11) in the 1st half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 59 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#6 Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (88/842) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 7%

#6 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 59 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#6 Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 136 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

#6 Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (88/842) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Kansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (20 completions/26 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

#13 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 57 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 10%

#13 Kansas State has allowed just 4.4 Yards per Attempt (250 yards/57 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.4

#13 Kansas State has allowed just 4.4 Yards per Attempt (250 yards/57 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 7.8

#13 Kansas State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs this season– 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 6%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.