Kansas State vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:01 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Kansas State Wildcats (6-2) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (8-0) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Fort Worth.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kansas State vs. TCU is total points.

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Kansas State vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State
TCU

Kansas State vs TCU Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Kansas State vs TCU Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and TCU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adrian Martinez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Malik Knowles has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Best TCU Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for TCU players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Duggan has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Taye Barber has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Max Duggan has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Kansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Kansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Kansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Kansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    TCU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • TCU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • TCU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • TCU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

    #20 Kansas State is 5-2 (.714) when passing for more than 200 yards — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .390

    #20 Kansas State is 8-2 (.727) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

    #20 Kansas State is 8-1 (.667) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .487

    #20 Kansas State is 8-2 (.615) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

    TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

    #17 TCU is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .609

    #17 TCU is 8-1 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518

    Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. TCU

    TCU’s WRs has gained 1,317 yards on 91 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU has gained 1,489 yards on 113 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU has gained 4,273 yards on 307 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas State has gained 3,229 yards on 259 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among P5 defenses.

    Kansas State’s TEs has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas State has 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fewest among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fewest among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

    Kansas State has gained 3,229 yards on 259 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among P5 defenses.

    #17 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 17.2 yards per reception (621 yards/36 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.6

    #17 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (199 yards/10 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

    #17 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 17.2 yards per reception (621 yards/36 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

    Kansas State’s TEs has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

    TCU’s WRs has gained 1,317 yards on 91 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU has gained 1,489 yards on 113 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU has gained 4,273 yards on 307 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU have 297.8 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 200.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    TCU’s WRs have 215.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 211.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

    #17 Kansas State has averaged 1.80 interceptions per game (9/5) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 0.86

    #17 Kansas State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 17% of PATs this season– tied for 5th highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%

    #17 Kansas State has averaged 1.80 interceptions per game (9/5) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.87

    #17 Kansas State has allowed 3 touchdowns on 102 completions (34.0 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.6

    #17 Kansas State has allowed 0.3 touchdowns per interception (3 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) this season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.6

    TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends

    #13 TCU has forced 5 fumbles on 644 carries (128.8 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.7

    #13 TCU has forced 5 fumbles on 644 carries (128.8 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.1

    #13 TCU has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 22 of 477 attempts (5%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

    #13 TCU has allowed first downs on 34% of rush attempts in close and late situations since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22%

    #13 TCU has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 68 of 477 attempts (14%) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.