Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

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Bowling Green coach Scot Loeffler watches during the Quick Lane Bowl NCAA college football game, Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2023, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Al Goldis)
(AP Photo/Al Goldis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 2:01 PM
  • The Bowling Green is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
  • The Kent State vs. Bowling Green Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Kent State Golden Flashes (0-6) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (2-4) on Oct. 19 in Bowling Green, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Kent State vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on Bowling Green vs Kent State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kent State vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State+20.5 -11055.5 -110+800
Bowling Green -20.5 -11055.5 -110-1400

Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Bowling Green, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Bowling Green vs Kent State and all games with BetMGM


  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Kent State is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kent State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Kent State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Bowling Green is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -26.67% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Kent State is winless (0-4) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .475

Kent State is 1-15 (.062) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

Kent State is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .476

Kent State is 1-15 (.062) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .627

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Bowling Green is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .265

Bowling Green is 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .679

Bowling Green is 3-7 (.300) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .475

Bowling Green is 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .628

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (184 yards / 75 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,667 yards / 471 touches) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State Skill Players averaged 23.2 yards per reception (394 yards/17 catches) last week– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Kent State WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (170 yards/73 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green TEs have averaged 9.2 receptions per game (55/6) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 11.8 times per game (71/6) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Bowling Green Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (555 yards/68 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 71 times this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green TEs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed 12 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS

Kent State has allowed 12 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Kent State has allowed 12 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has forced 5 fumbles on 733 carries (146.6 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.7

Kent State has allowed 27 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (50/491) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Bowling Green has intercepted one of 152 attempts this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Bowling Green has one interception and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Bowling Green has allowed 119.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 174.1

Bowling Green has intercepted one of 152 attempts this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 40.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.