Louisiana Tech vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

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North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:23 AM
  • NC State is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Louisiana Tech vs. North Carolina State Total(Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-0) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

NC State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-105).

The Louisiana Tech vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Louisiana Tech vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech+21.5 -11548.5 -110+1000
North Carolina State -21.5 -10548.5 -110-2000

Louisiana Tech vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Louisiana Tech vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 88.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and NC State and key player performances this season.


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      Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today

        Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

        Louisiana Tech is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 86.96% ROI).

        • Louisiana Tech is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 37.04% ROI
        • Louisiana Tech is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
        • Louisiana Tech is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

        North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

        NC State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

        • North Carolina State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
        • North Carolina State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
        • North Carolina State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

        Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

        Louisiana Tech is 1-9 (.083) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

        Louisiana Tech is winless (0-7) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .423

        Louisiana Tech is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440

        Louisiana Tech is winless (0-9) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .398

        North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

        North Carolina State is 7-1 (.700) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .522

        North Carolina State is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .585

        North Carolina State is 7-2 (.636) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .523

        North Carolina State is 11-4 (.647) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .508

        Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. North Carolina State

        Justin Joly (NCST) has been targeted 12 times this season — 3rd-most of Qualified ACC Tight Ends. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed 138 receiving yards this season — 4th-fewest among FBS defenses.

        Kevin Concepcion (NCST) has been targeted 21 times this season — 3rd-most of Qualified ACC Skill Players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed 138 receiving yards this season — 4th-fewest among FBS defenses.

        Justin Joly (NCST) has been targeted 12 times this season — T-9th-most of Qualified Tight Ends. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed 138 receiving yards this season — 4th-fewest among FBS defenses.

        North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

        Louisiana Tech’s RBs has rushed for 76 yards on 23 carries (just 3.3 YPC) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Louisiana Tech’s RBs has rushed for 76 yards on 23 carries (just 3.3 YPC) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC this season — T-worst among ACC defenses.

        Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

        Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 16.4 yards per reception (658 yards/40 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1

        Louisiana Tech RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (76 yards/23 carries) this season– T-17th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

        North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

        Louisiana Tech RBs have averaged 17.0 yards per reception (34 yards/2 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.0

        Louisiana Tech’s RBs has rushed for 76 yards on 23 carries (just 3.3 YPC) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed 5.9 YPC this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

        North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

        North Carolina State TEs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (100 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1

        North Carolina State TEs have been targeted 5 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams

        North Carolina State TEs have been targeted 5 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

        North Carolina State TEs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (100 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

        North Carolina State TEs have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (99 yards/5 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

        Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

        Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (1 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

        Louisiana Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (6/26) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

        Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (5 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

        Louisiana Tech has averaged 6.0 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

        Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (1 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%

        North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

        North Carolina State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 2 of 5 attempts (40%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

        North Carolina State has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (366 yards / 72 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

        North Carolina State has allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

        North Carolina State has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (366 yards / 72 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

        North Carolina State has 36 interceptions since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams


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