- Western Kentucky is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
- Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-6) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-2) on Nov. 16 in Bowling Green, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisiana Tech | +13.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +400 |
| Western Kentucky | -13.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -550 |
Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and Western Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech and all games with BetMGM
Louisiana Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+6.50 Units / 81% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisiana Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisiana Tech Player Prop Bets Today
- Tru Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Finley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Marlion Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omiri Wiggins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kisean Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- River Helms has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Easton Messer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisiana Tech is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.47% ROI).
- Louisiana Tech is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -41.83% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 8% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
Louisiana Tech is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .472
Louisiana Tech is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .438
Louisiana Tech is 2-10 (.167) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Louisiana Tech is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .521
Western Kentucky is 14-5 (.737) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .582
Western Kentucky is 9-4 (.692) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
Western Kentucky is 10-3 (.769) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: .621
Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky’s QBs has thrown for 2,440 passing yards in 9 games (271.1 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 191.2 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 2,527 passing yards in 9 games (280.8 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 191.2 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky have 281.6 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 191.2 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Evan Bullock (LT) has completed 77.3% of passes in late and close games this season — 3rd-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed a completion rate of just 45.5% in close and late situations this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Tech WRs have 686 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Tech RBs have averaged just 3.8 Yards per Carry (799 yards/209 carries) this season– T-4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Louisiana Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 20 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
Louisiana Tech TEs have averaged a touchdown every 28.5 receptions (57 Rec/2 TDs) since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.4
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky’s QBs has thrown for 2,440 passing yards in 9 games (271.1 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 191.2 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 2,527 passing yards in 9 games (280.8 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 191.2 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky Skill Players were targeted 113 times with 4-6 yards to go in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky RBs have averaged 14.4 yards per reception (201 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.0
Western Kentucky have 281.6 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 191.2 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (5 completions/15 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (5 completions/15 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (327 completions/585 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Louisiana Tech has allowed 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (993 yards / 217 touches) on 1st down this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.0
Louisiana Tech’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (76 PATs) since the 2023 season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky allowed 345.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 162.3
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (16 completions/36 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (41 completions/83 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (16 completions/36 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (41 completions/83 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
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