- The Louisville is a -7 point favorite vs. Boston College
- The Louisville vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Louisville Cardinals (4-3) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (4-3) on Oct. 25 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Louisville vs. Boston College Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | -7 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -250 |
| Boston College | +7 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +200 |
Louisville vs Boston College Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisville vs Boston College Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Louisville Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.90 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisville players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisville Player Prop Bets Today
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Chris Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Isaac Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaedn Skeete has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).
- Louisville is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.08% ROI
- Louisville is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Louisville is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Boston College is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 55.25% ROI
- Boston College is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Boston College is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College
Louisville is 12-5 (.706) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .540
Louisville is 14-5 (.737) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 32nd-best in FBS; Average: .611
Louisville is 12-2 (.857) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .599
Louisville is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .708
Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville
Boston College is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .676
Boston College is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .622
Boston College is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .531
Boston College is 8-4 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .505
Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. Boston College
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 522 attempts since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Boston College has 304 receptions in 20 games (just 15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College’s WRs has 217 receptions in 20 games (just 10.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 3,849 yards on 269 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 3,849 yards on 269 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s TEs has 31 receptions in 7 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-5th-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisville’s WRs has gained 3,849 yards on 269 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 3,849 yards on 269 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among ACC WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s TEs has 31 receptions in 7 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-5th-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 3,849 yards on 269 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 3,849 yards on 269 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 522 attempts since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Boston College has 304 receptions in 20 games (just 15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College’s WRs has 217 receptions in 20 games (just 10.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Boston College has 304 receptions in 20 games (just 15.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisville has intercepted 2 of 213 attempts (106.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 33.4
Louisville has intercepted 2 of 213 attempts (106.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 35.8
Louisville has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (9 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.4
Louisville has allowed 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (35 completions/77 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Boston College opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Boston College has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 32 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Boston College opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Boston College tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 77 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
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