- Indiana is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Michigan
- Michigan vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Michigan Wolverines (5-4) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (9-0) on Nov. 9 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).
The Michigan vs. Indiana Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Michigan vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan | +14.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | +450 |
| Indiana | -14.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | -650 |
Michigan vs Indiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 84.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Michigan vs Indiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today
- Kalel Mullings has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Semaj Morgan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.29% ROI).
- Michigan is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 1.13% ROI
- Michigan is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Michigan is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana is 8-1 against the spread this college football season (+6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI).
- Indiana is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 8.21% ROI
- Indiana is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- Indiana is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
Michigan is 15-1 (.938) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .607
Michigan is undefeated (20-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .785
Michigan is 16-1 (.941) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .679
Michigan is 20-2 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .635
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Indiana is 2-5 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .530
Indiana is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .590
Indiana is 4-9 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Indiana
Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 210 attempts this season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan has 388 receptions in 24 games (just 16.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 1,209 passing yards in 9 games (just 134.3 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 188.4 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 210 attempts this season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan has 388 receptions in 24 games (just 16.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan TEs have been targeted 34 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Michigan WRs have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (456 yards/49 catches) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.1
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 1,209 passing yards in 9 games (just 134.3 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 188.4 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 617 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big Ten
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2
Michigan allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 34 attempts (6%) last week– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1%
Michigan has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%.
Indiana allowed 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 52 touches) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 6.8
Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 32 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 27 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.
Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 32 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) last week– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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