Michigan vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

min read
Washington linebacker Alphonzo Tuputala is pictured during an NCAA football game against Boise State on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, in Seattle. Washington won 56-19. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 02, 2024, 2:44 PM
  • The Washington is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Michigan
  • The Michigan vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC

The Michigan Wolverines (4-1) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies (3-2) on Oct. 5 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Washington Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

Bet now on Washington vs Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Michigan vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+2.5 -10541.5 -110+115
Washington -2.5 -11541.5 -110-140

Michigan vs Washington Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Michigan vs Washington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Washington vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM


  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.85 Units / 6% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today

  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.35 Units / -79.82% ROI).

  • Michigan is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5.75% ROI
  • Michigan is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • Michigan is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

  • Washington is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -8.94% ROI
  • Washington is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
  • Washington is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Michigan is undefeated (16-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700

Michigan is undefeated (14-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .618

Michigan is undefeated (18-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .672

Michigan is undefeated (6-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .506

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Washington is undefeated (16-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694

Washington is undefeated (16-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .762

Washington is 13-3 (.812) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Washington is 9-1 (.900) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Washington

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has gained 5,052 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan has 328 receptions in 20 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s WRs has 168 receptions in 20 games (just 8.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan has gained 577 yards on 68 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan has 328 receptions in 20 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s WRs has 168 receptions in 20 games (just 8.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan WRs have averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (234 yards/28 catches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8

Michigan WRs have averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (234 yards/28 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

Michigan WRs have averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (90 yards/13 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has gained 5,052 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 6,608 passing yards in 20 games (330.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 6,636 passing yards in 20 games (331.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Michigan has allowed 127 completions this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2

Michigan has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Michigan has allowed 127 completions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (66 completions/144 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Washington opponents has averaged 72.0 Passing Attempts per TD (144 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.8

Washington opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (82 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (66 completions/144 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

Washington opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (82 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9


Bet now on Washington vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.