Michigan vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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Washington linebacker Alphonzo Tuputala is pictured during an NCAA football game against Boise State on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, in Seattle. Washington won 56-19. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • The Washington is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Michigan
  • The Michigan vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC

The Michigan Wolverines (4-1) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies (3-2) on Oct. 5 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Washington Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+2.5 -10541.5 -110+115
Washington -2.5 -11541.5 -110-140

Michigan vs Washington Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Michigan vs Washington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.85 Units / 6% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today

  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.35 Units / -79.82% ROI).

  • Michigan is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5.75% ROI
  • Michigan is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • Michigan is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

  • Washington is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -8.94% ROI
  • Washington is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
  • Washington is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Michigan is undefeated (16-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700

Michigan is undefeated (14-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .618

Michigan is undefeated (18-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .672

Michigan is undefeated (6-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .506

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Washington is undefeated (16-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694

Washington is undefeated (16-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .762

Washington is 13-3 (.812) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Washington is 9-1 (.900) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Washington

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has gained 5,052 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan has 328 receptions in 20 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s WRs has 168 receptions in 20 games (just 8.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan has gained 577 yards on 68 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan has 328 receptions in 20 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s WRs has 168 receptions in 20 games (just 8.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan WRs have averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (234 yards/28 catches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8

Michigan WRs have averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (234 yards/28 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

Michigan WRs have averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (90 yards/13 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 347 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has gained 5,052 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 6,608 passing yards in 20 games (330.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 6,636 passing yards in 20 games (331.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Michigan has allowed 127 completions this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2

Michigan has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Michigan has allowed 127 completions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (66 completions/144 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Washington opponents has averaged 72.0 Passing Attempts per TD (144 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.8

Washington opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (82 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (66 completions/144 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

Washington opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (82 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.