Illinois Fighting IlliniMinnesota Golden Gophers

Minnesota vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

min read

AP Photos

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:49 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on BTN

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (6-1) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Champaign.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Minnesota vs. Illinois is total points.

Bet now on Illinois vs Minnesota & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Minnesota vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Minnesota
Illinois

Minnesota vs Illinois Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 61.2% confidence.

Minnesota vs Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Brevyn Spann-Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Tommy DeVito has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Isaiah Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Minnesota have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.35 Units / 63% ROI)

Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+19.40 Units / 111% ROI)

Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 73% ROI)

Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)

Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Minnesota is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Minnesota is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Minnesota is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Illinois is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Illinois is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Illinois is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Minnesota is 8-2 (.615) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Minnesota is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Minnesota is 11-4 (.611) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .459

Minnesota is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .596

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

Illinois is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .506

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Illinois

Illinois’s WRs has gained 854 yards on 75 receptions (just 11.4 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois has gained 2,920 yards on 265 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s TEs has 53 receptions in 17 games (just 3.1 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among P5 defenses.

Minnesota’s TEs has gained 605 yards on 44 receptions (13.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota has gained 3,077 yards on 215 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 2,235 yards on 143 receptions (15.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Power 5 WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota’s TEs has 44 receptions in 17 games (just 2.6 per game) since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 17.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 2,235 yards on 143 receptions (15.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois’s TEs has gained 149 yards on 15 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for second-best among P5 defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 2,128 yards on 178 receptions (just 12.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota has allowed 27.9 carries per game (475 carries / 17 games) since last season– lowest in FBS; Average: 36.6

Minnesota has allowed 27.9 carries per game (475 carries / 17 games) since last season– lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 35.7

Minnesota has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 70 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Minnesota has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 6 of their 475 carries (1%) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

Minnesota has allowed 1.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (11 yards / 8 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 112 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%.

Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (32 completions/82 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Illinois has allowed opponents to catch just 1 of 8 passes (12% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 52%

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 112 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Illinois has allowed 70.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 141.5

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Illinois vs Minnesota and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author