- The Alabama is a -14 point favorite vs. Missouri
- The Missouri vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Missouri Tigers (6-1) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2) on Oct. 26 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -14 (-105).
The Missouri vs. Alabama Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
Bet now on Alabama vs Missouri & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Missouri vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri | +14 -115 | 55.5 -105 | +400 |
| Alabama | -14 -105 | 55.5 -115 | -550 |
Missouri vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Missouri vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Alabama vs Missouri and all games with BetMGM
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Justice Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- CJ Dippre has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ryan Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 7.69% ROI).
- Missouri is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 0.87% ROI
- Missouri is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Missouri is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Alabama is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -4.79% ROI
- Alabama is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Alabama is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Missouri is 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .629
Missouri is 17-2 (.895) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .587
Missouri is 8-2 (.800) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
Missouri is 17-1 (.944) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .611
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
Alabama is undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .689
Alabama is 16-3 (.842) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .641
Alabama is 14-3 (.824) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .648
Alabama is 11-2 (.846) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .599
Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. Alabama
Alabama has 338 receptions in 21 games (just 16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama has 338 receptions in 21 games (just 16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Alabama has 338 receptions in 21 games (just 16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — worst among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Missouri’s WRs has 311 receptions in 20 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — worst among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Missouri’s WRs has 311 receptions in 20 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.8 YPR) this season — worst among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri has gained 1,751 yards on 159 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) this season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs have averaged 31.9 yards per reception (701 yards/22 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 16.5
Alabama WRs have averaged 51.8 yards per reception (207 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.7
Alabama QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (883 yards/39 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.2
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 24.7 yards per reception (247 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 15 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 83 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 15 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 15 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 12%.
Missouri allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 39 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 103 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 39 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on just 7% of pass attempts (17/238) this season– 5th-worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Alabama has allowed first downs on 33% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season– best in the SEC; Average: 52%
Bet now on Alabama vs Missouri and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
